NiSource Inc. (NI) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Utilities • Industry: Regulated Gas
NiSource Inc. (NI) Profile & Business Summary
NiSource Inc., an energy holding company, operates as a regulated natural gas and electric utility company in the United States. It operates through two segments, Gas Distribution Operations and Electric Operations. The company distributes natural gas to approximately 853,000 customers in northern Indiana, as well as approximately 2.4 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, and Maryland. It operates approximately 54,600 miles of distribution main pipelines, as well as associated individual customer service lines; and 1,000 miles of transmission main pipelines. The company generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 483,000 customers in 20 counties in the northern part of Indiana, as well as engages in wholesale electric and transmission transactions. It owns and operates coal-fired electric generating stations with a capacity of 722 megawatts (MW) in Wheatfield and 455 MW in Michigan City; combined cycle gas turbine with a capacity of 563 MW in West Terre Haute; natural gas generating units with a capacity of 155 MW in Wheatfield; hydro generating plants with a capacity of 9 MW in Carroll County and 7 MW in White County; and wind generating units with a capacity of 102 MW and 302 MW in White County, Indiana. The company was formerly known as NIPSCO Industries, Inc. and changed its name to NiSource Inc. in April 1999. NiSource Inc. was founded in 1847 and is headquartered in Merrillville, Indiana.
Key Information
| Ticker | NI |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.nisource.com |
Market Trend Overview for NI
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-13 (ET)
As of 2026-10-13, NI is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
NI last closed at 41.49. The price is about 1.1 ATR above its recent average price (40.49), and the market is currently in a strong upward move. Price at 41.49 is holding above light support near 41.41. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 42.18. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term and long-term trends are aligned to the downside, keeping downside risk dominant.
Trend score: 70 out of 100. Overall alignment is moderate. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Some trend alignment is present, but the structure is still forming.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-10-07, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-10-12] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent price action shows orderly upward progression with no major deterioration in bar-level efficiency. Structural conditions remain broadly constructive.
Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 62.7% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 62.7%, with predictability at 48% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 18%, while reward/risk stands at 0.23. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 58 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-13. The current price is 41.49, 0.41% above the estimated average cost of 41.32. An estimated 60.5% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 38.4% is above it. The peak-density price is 40.64. The largest concentrated cost region is 40.35 to 41.31 and contains 35.3% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 41.39 to 41.53 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 40.35 to 41.31. The nearest region above the current price is 41.61 to 42.21.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for NI
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is above its usual range, suggesting rising pressure on short positions, though not yet extreme. (Historical percentile: 69%)
Structure Analysis
NI Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.5 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 13/100, DTC percentile 39%) as price consolidates near recent highs (20D return 2.2%) with short positioning continuing to expand.
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-09-30 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.