Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Financial - Credit Services
Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) Profile & Business Summary
Owl Rock Capital Corporation is a business development company. The fund makes investments in senior secured or unsecured loans, subordinated loans or mezzanine loans and also considers equity-related securities including warrants and preferred stocks also pursues preferred equity investments and common equity investments. Within private equity, it seeks to invest in growth, acquisitions, market or product expansion, refinancings and recapitalizations. It seeks to invest in middle market companies based in the United States, with EBITDA between $10 million and $250 million annually and/or annual revenue of $50 million and $2.5 billion at the time of investment.
Key Information
| Ticker | OBDC |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://owlrockcapitalcorporation.com/landing/default.aspx |
Market Trend Overview for OBDC
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-14 (ET)
As of 2026-10-14, OBDC is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
OBDC last closed at 10.10. The price is about 0.1 ATR below its recent average price (10.14), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 10.10 is near minor support around 9.81. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 10.23. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term weakness is unfolding within a broader uptrend, suggesting a pullback rather than a full trend reversal.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
On 2026-08-19, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-10-14] Moderate participation supported a steady price advance.Bullish signal near resistance (0.64 ATR away). Selling pressure may appear.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.
The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.
The model does not issue an actionable directional forecast. Predictability is 35%, agreement is 81%, and reversal risk is 20%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 59 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-14. The current price is 10.10, 7.45% below the estimated average cost of 10.91. An estimated 12.5% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 86.7% is above it. The peak-density price is 10.14. The largest concentrated cost region is 11.25 to 11.52 and contains 24.0% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 10.00 to 10.15 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 9.93 to 9.94. The nearest region above the current price is 10.30 to 10.33.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for OBDC
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 40%)
Structure Analysis
OBDC Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 6.4 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -9.1%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-09-30 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.