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Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Corporate Logo

Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Utilities • Industry: Regulated Electric

Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Profile & Business Summary

Oklo Inc. designs and develops fission power plants to provide reliable and commercial-scale energy to customers in the United States. It also provides used nuclear fuel recycling services. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Santa Clara, California.

Key Information

Ticker OKLO
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.oklo.com
CIK Number 0001849056
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for OKLO

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-09-24 (ET)

As of 2026-09-24, OKLO is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

OKLO last closed at 38.29. The price is about 0.5 ATR below its recent average price (41.09), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 38.29 is near minor support around 36.61. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 44.24. View Support & Resistance from Options

Short-term weakness is unfolding within a broader uptrend, suggesting a pullback rather than a full trend reversal.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear key risk boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-08-21, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-09-23] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-09-24 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-09-25 (ET)
No clear next-day edge

What the model sees

The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.


Why the model says this

The model does not deploy this setup because price is still close to a gamma transition zone, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory, and there is meaningful next-session pullback or digestion risk. Predictability is 38%, agreement is 86%, and reversal risk is 24%.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-09-24 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 45 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-24. The current price is 38.29, 4.61% below the estimated average cost of 40.14. An estimated 28.0% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 71.4% is above it. The peak-density price is 40.20. The largest concentrated cost region is 39.27 to 41.67 and contains 37.9% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 37.62 to 39.12 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 36.88 to 37.23. The nearest region above the current price is 39.27 to 41.67.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for OKLO

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.97

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 20.47%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -13.12%
20-Day Return -7.96%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 45%)

Structure Analysis

OKLO Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 3.5 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind more slowly than usual. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -8.0%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.

Risk Summary

Some early warning signs are emerging. Price strength remains intact, but underlying support may be starting to weaken.This indicator is intended as a risk filter, not a directional signal. A High or Extreme reading does not predict an immediate move, but suggests that if prices weaken, downside reactions may be more pronounced.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Short positioning is elevated both relative to its own history and in absolute short-interest terms. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. Crowded positioning is being reinforced by continued short build-up. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 3× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-08-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules