Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Utilities • Industry: Regulated Electric
Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Profile & Business Summary
Oklo Inc. designs and develops fission power plants to provide reliable and commercial-scale energy to customers in the United States. It also provides used nuclear fuel recycling services. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Santa Clara, California.
Key Information
| Ticker | OKLO |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.oklo.com |
Market Trend Overview for OKLO
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-10 (ET)
As of 2026-08-10, OKLO is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
OKLO last closed at 44.49. The price is about 0.1 ATR above its recent average price (43.54), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility. Price at 44.49 is moving between minor support near 41.60 and minor resistance near 47.51. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.
Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-08-07, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-07-09] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.
The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.
The model does not deploy this setup because price is still close to a gamma transition zone. Predictability is 42%, agreement is 67%, and reversal risk is 27%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 13 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-10. The current price is 44.49, 3.19% above the estimated average cost of 43.12. An estimated 65.5% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 33.9% is above it. The peak-density price is 44.85. The largest concentrated cost region is 41.83 to 43.77 and contains 24.1% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 44.18 to 45.42 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 41.83 to 43.77. The nearest region above the current price is 45.62 to 45.67.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for OKLO
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 12%)
Structure Analysis
OKLO Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 3.3 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind more slowly than usual. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 38/100, DTC percentile 96%) as price consolidates near recent highs (20D return -0.9%) with short positioning continuing to expand and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -41%). Positioning is historically elevated, although price and liquidity conditions do not yet confirm structural fragility. Short positioning is at extreme historical levels.
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. Rising short pressure is occurring while liquidity is deteriorating. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 3× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-07-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.