On Holding AG (ONON) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Apparel - Retail
On Holding AG (ONON) Profile & Business Summary
On Holding AG develops and distributes sports products worldwide. It offers athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories. The company offers its products through independent retailers and distributors, online, and stores. On Holding AG was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.
Key Information
| Ticker | ONON |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.on-running.com |
Market Trend Overview for ONON
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-03-25 (ET)
As of 2026-03-25, ONON is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
ONON last closed at 35.16. The price is about 2.0 ATR below its recent average price (38.91), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 35.16 is near minor support around 32.12. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 40.52. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term weakness is unfolding within a broader uptrend, suggesting a pullback rather than a full trend reversal.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear risk level acting as a key boundary right now.
On 2026-02-27, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-03-25] Trading activity was heavy, but price made little progress.Bearish signal in open space between key levels.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 9.8% below the recent estimated cost basis of 38.98, so the recent structure is still leaning under pressure. Price is in the lower half of the main cost band (34.63 to 38.05), so price support and pullback behavior matter more than immediate upside follow-through. The higher up selling area sits around 36.46 to 36.68, so rebounds may begin to slow as price pushes into that zone. About 93% of recent positioning remains under water, which usually makes rallies harder to sustain. From a trading point of view, the main question is whether rebounds remain healthy enough to reach and absorb the higher overhead supply zone.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for ONON
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 12%)
Structure Analysis
ONON Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 3.5 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -24.6%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-02-27 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.