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Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) Corporate Logo

Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Technology • Industry: Software - Application

Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) Profile & Business Summary

Paycom Software, Inc. provides cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solution delivered as software-as-a-service for small to mid-sized companies in the United States. It offers functionality and data analytics that businesses need to manage the employment life cycle from recruitment to retirement. The company's HCM solution provides a suite of applications in the areas of talent acquisition, including applicant tracking, candidate tracker, background checks, on-boarding, e-verify, and tax credit services; and time and labor management, such as time and attendance, scheduling/schedule exchange, time-off requests, labor allocation, labor management reports/push reporting, and geofencing/geotracking, and Microfence, a proprietary Bluetooth. Its HCM solution also offers payroll applications comprising better employee transaction interface, payroll and tax management, Paycom pay, expense management, mileage tracker/fixed and variable rates, garnishment management, and GL concierge applications; and talent management applications that include employee self-service, compensation budgeting, performance management, position management, and Paycom learning and content subscriptions, as well as my analytics, which offer employment predictor reporting. In addition, its HCM solution provides manager on-the-go that gives supervisors and managers the ability to perform a variety of tasks, such as approving time-off requests and expense reimbursements; direct data exchange; ask here, a tool for direct line of communication to ask work-related questions; document and checklist; government and compliance; benefits administration/benefits to carrier; COBRA administration; personnel action and performance discussion forms; surveys; and affordable care act applications, as well as Clue, which securely collect, track, and manage the vaccination and testing data of the workforce. Paycom Software, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Key Information

Ticker PAYC
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.paycom.com
CIK Number 0001590955
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for PAYC

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-01 (ET)

As of 2026-10-01, PAYC is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

PAYC last closed at 227.47. The price is about 0.9 ATR above its recent average price (222.07), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 227.47 is moving between light support near 218.91 and minor resistance near 231.49. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 203.20. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-09-09, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-10-01 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-10-02 (ET)
Bullish setup for the next session

What the model sees

The model sees a bullish edge, with 61.0% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.


Why the model says this

Up probability is 61.0%, with predictability at 53% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 17%, while reward/risk stands at 0.19. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-10-01 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 50 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01. The current price is 227.47, 6.30% above the estimated average cost of 213.99. An estimated 76.6% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 21.9% is above it. The peak-density price is 219.00. The largest concentrated cost region is 210.75 to 228.75 and contains 63.2% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 210.75 to 228.75 cost region. The nearest region above the current price is 229.75 to 230.25.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for PAYC

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.54

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 7.06%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -11.61%
20-Day Return -3.72%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 50%)

Structure Analysis

PAYC Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 3.5 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 13/100, DTC percentile 53%) with short positioning continuing to expand and liquidity softening modestly (volume -12%).

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-09-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules