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Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) Corporate Logo

Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Technology • Industry: Software - Application

Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) Profile & Business Summary

Paycom Software, Inc. provides cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solution delivered as software-as-a-service for small to mid-sized companies in the United States. It offers functionality and data analytics that businesses need to manage the employment life cycle from recruitment to retirement. The company's HCM solution provides a suite of applications in the areas of talent acquisition, including applicant tracking, candidate tracker, background checks, on-boarding, e-verify, and tax credit services; and time and labor management, such as time and attendance, scheduling/schedule exchange, time-off requests, labor allocation, labor management reports/push reporting, and geofencing/geotracking, and Microfence, a proprietary Bluetooth. Its HCM solution also offers payroll applications comprising better employee transaction interface, payroll and tax management, Paycom pay, expense management, mileage tracker/fixed and variable rates, garnishment management, and GL concierge applications; and talent management applications that include employee self-service, compensation budgeting, performance management, position management, and Paycom learning and content subscriptions, as well as my analytics, which offer employment predictor reporting. In addition, its HCM solution provides manager on-the-go that gives supervisors and managers the ability to perform a variety of tasks, such as approving time-off requests and expense reimbursements; direct data exchange; ask here, a tool for direct line of communication to ask work-related questions; document and checklist; government and compliance; benefits administration/benefits to carrier; COBRA administration; personnel action and performance discussion forms; surveys; and affordable care act applications, as well as Clue, which securely collect, track, and manage the vaccination and testing data of the workforce. Paycom Software, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Key Information

Ticker PAYC
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.paycom.com
CIK Number 0001590955
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for PAYC

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-17 (ET)

As of 2026-08-17, PAYC is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

PAYC last closed at 214.19. The price is about 0.5 ATR above its recent average price (211.62), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 214.19 is moving between minor support near 204.36 and minor resistance near 228.82. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 155.39. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-07-01, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-08-14] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-08-17 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-08-18 (ET)
Mild bullish lean, but not actionable

What the model sees

The model still sees a directional lean, but the edge is not thick enough after adjusting for reward/risk.


Why the model says this

The model does not deploy this setup because the directional lean exists, but the edge is still not thick enough after risk adjustment, reward/risk remains too thin at 0.10 after adjustment, and price is still close to a gamma transition zone. Predictability is 47%, agreement is 83%, and reversal risk is 23%.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-08-17 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 18 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-17. The current price is 214.19, 10.33% above the estimated average cost of 194.14. An estimated 66.5% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 32.1% is above it. The peak-density price is 214.80. The largest concentrated cost region is 210.30 to 219.90 and contains 51.6% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 210.30 to 219.90 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 174.10 to 175.30.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for PAYC

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.49

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 8.63%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -6.02%
20-Day Return 43.07%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 56%)

Structure Analysis

PAYC Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 4.1 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 6/100, DTC percentile 64%) despite a strong upward price move (20D return 43.1%) and liquidity softening modestly (volume -6%).

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules