Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Energy • Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) Profile & Business Summary
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores for, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation and Marketing; Gas and Power; and Corporate and Other Businesses segments. It engages in prospecting, drilling, refining, processing, trading, and transporting crude oil from producing onshore and offshore oil fields, and shale or other rocks, as well as oil products, natural gas, and other liquid hydrocarbons. The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas primarily for supplies to the domestic refineries. The Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment engages in the refining, logistics, transport, marketing, and trading of crude oil and oil products; exportation of ethanol; and extraction and processing of shale, as well as holding interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Power segment is involved in the logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity; transportation and trading of LNG; generation of electricity through thermoelectric power plants; holding interests in transportation and distribution of natural gas; and fertilizer production and natural gas processing business. The Corporate and Other Businesses segment produces biodiesel and its co-products, and ethanol; and distributes oil products. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Key Information
| Ticker | PBR |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://petrobras.com.br |
Market Trend Overview for PBR
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-03-25 (ET)
As of 2026-03-25, PBR is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
PBR last closed at 19.82. The price is about 2.7 ATR above its recent average price (19.01), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 19.82 is moving between minor support near 18.53 and minor resistance near 20.28. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.
Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
Price is far from its recent average (about 2.7 ATR away). Chasing the move at this level carries a higher risk of a pullback.
A key downside level is near 16.23. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-01-15, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-03-25] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.Bearish signal near resistance (0.73 ATR away). Reversal risk is higher. Pattern is less clear, so strength is reduced.
Recent price action shows orderly upward progression with no major deterioration in bar-level efficiency. Structural conditions remain broadly constructive.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 5.0% above the recent estimated cost basis of 18.88, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is in the upper half of the main cost band (19.33 to 20.25), which is usually a healthier short-term location because price is holding the stronger side of recent trading activity. The lower down support area sits around 18.74 to 19.20, and it still looks fairly solid. About 84% of recent positioning is in profit, which is a strong backdrop, but it also means momentum needs to stay healthy to avoid profit-taking pressure. From a trading point of view, the trend still has support, but because the main support sits lower down around 18.74 to 19.20, the key is whether pullbacks remain controlled before dropping back into that zone.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for PBR
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 30%)
Structure Analysis
PBR Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 1.7 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 0/100, DTC percentile 68%) despite a strong upward price move (20D return 18.6%) and liquidity softening modestly (volume -13%).
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-02-27 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.