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Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Corporate Logo

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Packaging & Containers

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Profile & Business Summary

Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and corrugated packaging products in the United States. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various containerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations; and honeycomb protective packaging products, as well as packaging for meat, fresh fruit and vegetables, processed food, beverages, and other industrial and consumer products. This segment sells its corrugated products through a direct sales and marketing organization, independent brokers, and distribution partners. The Paper segment manufactures and sells commodity and specialty papers, as well as communication papers, including cut-size office papers, and printing and converting papers. This segment sells white papers through its sales and marketing organization. Packaging Corporation of America was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.

Key Information

Ticker PKG
Leadership Mark W. Kowlzan
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.packagingcorp.com
CIK Number 0000075677
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for PKG

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Current Market Context (Short-Term)

As of 2026-02-06 (ET), PKG is moving sideways. Price at 238.86 is above support near 216.66. If price moves higher, it may meet resistance around 248.34. View Support & Resistance from Options

Why the market looks this way?

Prices have moved back and forth over recent sessions without making steady progress. Trend signals have changed frequently, which suggests the market is stuck in a range. In this environment, chasing moves in either direction is less reliable.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-02-06 (ET)

As of 2026-02-06, PKG is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

PKG last closed at 238.86. The price is about 4.4 ATR above its recent average price (220.87), and the market is currently in a strong upward move.

The broader uptrend is still intact, but price has moved far from its recent average, increasing the risk of a pullback.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 95 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.

Pullback Risk

Price is far from its recent average (about 4.4 ATR away). Chasing the move at this level carries a higher risk of a pullback.

Key Risk Level

A key downside level is near 200.81. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-01-12, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-02-05] Trading activity picked up, but price progress remained limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for PKG

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.75

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 2.80%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) 0.00%
20-Day Return 11.68%
Price vs 20-Day High Trading Near Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 50%)

Structure Analysis

PKG Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 3.2 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves.

Bull Trap Structural Risk

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Price is consolidating near highs with a weak upward bias, appearing strong on the surface but structurally more fragile. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.

Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-01-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules