PM Stock Forecast & Next-Day Prediction
This page provides a complete PM stock analysis supported by real-time market data. It includes momentum trends, volatility regimes, options positioning, ETF fund flows, macro risk indicators, and supply–demand pressure from volume distribution. It also features a PM stock forecast with a next-day probability estimate generated by WhaleQuant’s multi-factor AI prediction model.
PM Short-Term Forecast Details
Forecast Published (New York Time / ET): 2025-12-24
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1. 📊 Technical Momentum
- Momentum Score: 94.6
- Momentum is extremely strong, with price action showing continuous upward structure led by dominant bulls.
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2. 🕯️ Candle Structure
- Candle Score: -0.18
- The candle structure leans bearish, with mild selling pressure or weak support, suggesting some downside risk in the short term.
- Overnight vs Intraday Structure: 0.06
- Neutral structure: no clear shift between overnight and intraday behavior, suggesting market indecision.
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3. 📈 Volatility (ATR)
- ATR Score: 55.0
- Volatility Regime: MidVol
- Volatility is within a normal range. Market behavior is balanced, and signals reflect standard short-term noise.
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4. 📦 Volume Profile
- High-Volume Zone: 157.92 ~ 158.76 (mid 158.34)
- Volume Pressure: 0.482
- Buyers hold a slight advantage, suggesting relatively firm support beneath current prices.
- Price is above the major volume zone, indicating strong underlying support. A pullback into the zone may lead to consolidation.
- VP Reliability: 0.51
- The Volume Profile has moderate reliability. Some recent trading activity aligns with historical volume zones, but the structure is not the dominant driver of price action.
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5. 📉 Volume Strength (Volume Score)
- Volume Score: -0.36
- Volume is slightly weak, with fading participation and limited support behind price moves.
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6. 📜 Historical Market Statistics
- Historical Probability of a 5-Day Rise (based on past similar setups): 54.80%
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7. 💹 Macro Environment
- 13-week T-Bill: 3.522 → 3.555
- DXY: 98.533 → 97.980
- VIX: 16.280 → 13.470
- Short-term yields moved higher, putting mild pressure on equity valuations; The U.S. dollar weakened, which typically benefits tech and growth sectors; VIX declined, suggesting an improvement in market risk sentiment.
- Secured Overnight Financing Rate: 3.680 → 3.660
- The secured overnight financing rate has declined noticeably, easing short-term funding conditions and supporting risk assets.
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8. 🧠 Market Sentiment
- Sentiment Index: 60.0
- ETF Risk Appetite: -0.252
- Sentiment leans toward greed; investors are more aggressive, but profit-taking pressure may rise. ETF flows tilt defensive, indicating cautious institutional sentiment.
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9. 📉 Options Structure
- IV Skew: 8.464
- Skew is extremely positive, indicating aggressive upside positioning and potential expectations of a squeeze or sharp breakout.
- GEX Index: 1.542
- GEX is extremely positive, strongly suppressing volatility and favoring stable price behavior.
- DPI: 0.598
- Dealers hold a clearly net-long stance, absorbing price shocks and stabilizing market action.
- Options data shows a highly stable market with a bullish dealer stance and upward-biased skew — strong conditions for sustained upside or trend continuation.
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10. 🧮 Final Prediction
- Next-Day Upside Probability: 61.12%
- PM shows a clearly bullish short-term setup, with an upside probability of 61.12%. Historically, similar configurations tend to favor continued strength, though pullbacks and noise are still common.
📌 Model View: This falls into the "bullish zone" where the balance of evidence supports a constructive long bias rather than a neutral stance.
📌 Positioning Tone: Exposure can be increased selectively, while still respecting risk limits and avoiding late-stage chasing behavior.
Data update note: Some datasets (ETF flows, aggregated sentiment indicators) update with a one-day delay. Other components — options chain data, intraday volatility, real-time liquidity and volume signals — are refreshed throughout the trading day. The model blends these signals to produce a stable and statistically calibrated short-term probability forecast.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the PM stock forecast?
The PM stock forecast evaluates short-term probability of price direction based on momentum, volatility, sentiment, macro trends, options positioning, and ETF flows.
How accurate is the next-day prediction?
While no model can guarantee outcomes, WhaleQuant’s AI engine is calibrated using historical data patterns and real-time microstructure signals to generate statistically meaningful forecasts.
How often is the PM forecast updated?
Forecasts are updated daily using real-time volatility and liquidity indicators alongside end-of-day datasets to ensure consistency and stability.