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Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) Corporate Logo

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) Profile & Business Summary

The Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) launched by Invesco on March 10, 1999, which is structured to track the price and yield performance of the NASDAQ-100 Index.

Key Information

CIK Number 0001067839
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for QQQ

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-01 (ET)

As of 2026-10-01, QQQ is starting to move higher. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

QQQ last closed at 742.03. The price is about 0.6 ATR above its recent average price (732.27), and the market is currently in an early upward move. Price at 742.03 is holding above minor support near 720.85. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 744.76. View Support & Resistance from Options

The trend is still positive, but signs of slowing momentum suggest growing two-sided risk.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 80 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in an early-stage uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 710.13. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-09-21, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-10-01] Trading activity picked up, but price progress remained limited.Bearish signal near resistance (0.30 ATR away). Reversal risk is higher.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent price action shows orderly upward progression with no major deterioration in bar-level efficiency. Structural conditions remain broadly constructive.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-10-01 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-10-02 (ET)
Bullish setup for the next session

What the model sees

The model sees a bullish edge, with 62.4% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.


Why the model says this

Up probability is 62.4%, with predictability at 46% and signal agreement at 86%. Reversal risk is 25%. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, price is still close to a gamma transition zone.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-10-01 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 50 trading days, with relative-volume decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01. The current price is 742.03, 0.19% above the estimated average cost of 740.64. An estimated 59.9% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 37.3% is above it. The peak-density price is 743.40. The largest concentrated cost region is 740.50 to 743.90 and contains 50.7% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 740.50 to 743.90 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 737.50 to 739.10.

Analytical Modules