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Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) Corporate Logo

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) Profile & Business Summary

The Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) launched by Invesco on March 10, 1999, which is structured to track the price and yield performance of the NASDAQ-100 Index.

Key Information

CIK Number 0001067839
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for QQQ

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-14 (ET)

As of 2026-08-14, QQQ is starting to move higher. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

QQQ last closed at 731.07. The price is about 1.6 ATR above its recent average price (715.76), and the market is currently in an early upward move. Price at 731.07 is holding above minor support near 720.85. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 737.62. View Support & Resistance from Options

Short-term weakness is unfolding within a broader uptrend, suggesting a pullback rather than a full trend reversal.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 80 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in an early-stage uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear key risk boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-08-04, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-08-11] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-08-14 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-08-17 (ET)
Bullish setup for the next session

What the model sees

The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 67.4% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.


Why the model says this

Up probability is 67.4%, with predictability at 64% and signal agreement at 86%. Reversal risk is 20%, while reward/risk stands at 0.38. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, price is still close to a gamma transition zone and recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-08-14 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 17 trading days, with relative-volume decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-14. The current price is 731.07, 0.34% above the estimated average cost of 728.61. An estimated 63.1% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 35.0% is above it. The peak-density price is 729.60. The largest concentrated cost region is 728.70 to 733.70 and contains 65.6% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 728.70 to 733.70 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 724.70 to 725.30.

Analytical Modules