QuantumScape Corporation (QS) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Auto - Parts
QuantumScape Corporation (QS) Profile & Business Summary
QuantumScape Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, focuses on the development and commercialization of solid-state lithium-metal batteries for electric vehicles and other applications in the United States. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Key Information
| Ticker | QS |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.quantumscape.com |
Market Trend Overview for QS
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-13 (ET)
As of 2026-10-13, QS is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
QS last closed at 4.12. The price is about 0.9 ATR below its recent average price (4.61), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 4.12 is near minor support around 3.77. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 4.76. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term and long-term trends are aligned to the downside, keeping downside risk dominant.
Trend score: 45 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
On 2026-08-24, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-09-23] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.
The model does not deploy the setup because the current position looks stretched and more vulnerable to pullback or digestion.
The model does not deploy this setup because extension risk is 85%, pullback risk is 59%, entry geometry is unfavorable at the current location, and recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory. Predictability is 46%, agreement is 100%, and reversal risk is 36%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 58 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-13. The current price is 4.12, 20.64% below the estimated average cost of 5.19. An estimated 0.0% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 99.8% is above it. The peak-density price is 4.59. The largest concentrated cost region is 4.92 to 5.29 and contains 28.5% of the estimated distribution. The nearest region above the current price is 4.42 to 4.43.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for QS
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 4%)
Structure Analysis
QS Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 9.1 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -18.4%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.
Risk Summary
Risk conditions are high. If prices begin to weaken, downside reactions could become more sensitive than usual.This indicator is intended as a risk filter, not a directional signal. A High or Extreme reading does not predict an immediate move, but suggests that if prices weaken, downside reactions may be more pronounced.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Short positioning is elevated both relative to its own history and in absolute short-interest terms. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Phase: Building. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. Crowded short positioning and weakening liquidity are reinforcing each other. Crowded positioning is being reinforced by continued short build-up. Rising short pressure is occurring while liquidity is deteriorating. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 3× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-09-30 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.