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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) Corporate Logo

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Travel Services

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) Profile & Business Summary

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. operates as a cruise company worldwide. The company operates cruises under the Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, Azamara, and Silversea Cruises brands, which comprise a range of itineraries that call on approximately 1,000 destinations. As of February 25, 2022, it operated 61 ships. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.

Key Information

Ticker RCL
Leadership Jason T. Liberty
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.rclinvestor.com
CIK Number 0000884887
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for RCL

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Current Market Context (Short-Term)

As of 2026-02-06 (ET), RCL is moving sideways. Price at 348.00 is above support near 321.06. If price moves higher, it may meet resistance around 351.57. View Support & Resistance from Options

Why the market looks this way?

Prices have moved back and forth over recent sessions without making steady progress. Trend signals have changed frequently, which suggests the market is stuck in a range. In this environment, chasing moves in either direction is less reliable.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-02-06 (ET)

As of 2026-02-06, RCL is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

RCL last closed at 348.00. The price is about 3.4 ATR above its recent average price (317.67), and the market is currently in a strong upward move.

The broader uptrend is still intact, but price has moved far from its recent average, increasing the risk of a pullback.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 95 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.

Pullback Risk

Price is far from its recent average (about 3.4 ATR away). Chasing the move at this level carries a higher risk of a pullback.

Key Risk Level

A key downside level is near 266.43. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-01-29, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-02-06] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.

Price Stretch Risk

As of 2026-01-29, price has extended significantly above its primary volume area, entering a liquidity-thin zone. While the uptrend remains intact, the risk of chasing strength has increased.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for RCL

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.75

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 4.32%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) 0.00%
20-Day Return 14.35%
Price vs 20-Day High Trading Near Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 50%)

Structure Analysis

RCL Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 5.1 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves.

Bull Trap Structural Risk

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Short interest remains relatively low, limiting forced selling pressure. Current price strength appears broadly supported. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.

Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-01-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules