WhaleQuant.io

RGTI Options Chain — Open Interest, Implied Volatility, Max Pain & Gamma Exposure

Analyze the complete RGTI options chain including strike-level open interest, real-time implied volatility (IV), max pain levels, gamma exposure, dealer positioning, and options flow trends. This dashboard provides data-driven insights for traders building directional or hedging strategies around RGTI.

Latest Data: 2025-12-23 (EDT)
Max Pain Price
31
Exp: 2025-12-26
Gamma Flip
23.95
Gamma Flip (≈60 days)
Put/Call OI Ratio
1.095
Shows put vs call positioning
IV Skew
2.84
Put–call IV difference
Max Pain Price Volatility
σ = 5.31
medium volatility

Dealer–Gamma Regime

A combined view of RGTI’s total gamma exposure (GEX) and Dealer Position Index (DPI). This helps identify whether dealer hedging flows support mean reversion or trend continuation in the current options market.

Overall Market Regime
Mean Reversion Zone
Long Gamma · Strong Net Short Options · Low Volatility
Low Volatility Mean Reversion Bias DPI Trend: bearish

Gamma Exposure
Total GEX
47.03M
Gamma Regime
Long Gamma
Flip Threshold: 24

In a long gamma regime, dealers hedge against price moves, strengthening mean reversion and suppressing volatility.

Dealer Position Index (DPI)
Current DPI
0.255
Dealer Positioning
Strong Net Short Options
Trend Label: bearish

A Strong Net Short Options profile indicates how dealers hedge daily flows, influencing whether trends extend or revert.


Market Behavior (Gamma Flip–Based)

Price moves are likely to stay range-bound.

The short-term gamma flip is near 23.77 , with intermediate positioning around 23.95 . The mid-term gamma flip remains near 23.95.


Combined Interpretation

With Long Gamma and a bearish DPI trend , the current setup favors Mean Reversion Zone .

Dealer hedging flows interact with gamma positioning to form short-term volatility regimes. Stronger directional movement is more likely when gamma is short or unstable.

Volatility Environment
Low Volatility
Trend vs Mean Reversion
Mean Reversion Bias
Dealer Hedging Behavior
Strong Net Short Options

Options-Based Market Outlook & Short-Term Sentiment for RGTI • As of 2025-12-23
Bullish Bias (Confidence: 75%)

The options market shows a strong bullish alignment. Multiple key factors point firmly to the upside, supported by dealer flows and positioning. A strong confidence score reflects high directional consensus—or, in the case of neutral bias, a stable volatility regime.


Put-Side Positioning Insight
On the put side, the bearish positioning looks mainly like hedging. This reflects caution and short-term protection rather than a true bearish call. Confidence: 100%


Key Price Levels: Support, Resistance & Pivot for RGTI
The support levels for RGTI are at 24.66, 23.98, and 19.69, while the resistance levels are at 25.56, 26.24, and 30.53. The pivot point, a key reference price for traders, is at 31.00.

Important intraday and swing-trading price levels derived from max pain, open interest distribution, and gamma positioning. These price levels are derived from Max Pain analysis, gamma exposure trends, and open interest dynamics, which are crucial factors for assessing market sentiment and potential price movements. Traders can use the support and resistance levels to identify key price zones for entry or exit points, while the pivot point serves as an important reference for gauging trend direction.


Option-Implied Price Range (DTE: 3)
Based on the latest options positioning (DTE 3), the ATM straddle implies a standardized 3.26% 1-day move.
The expected range for the next 3 days is 24.35 27.73 , corresponding to +10.44% / -3.03% .

Bullish flow suggests upside interest toward 29.29 (16.64% above spot).

Bearish positioning points to downside pressure toward 24.11 (3.97% below spot).

Options flow strength: 0.77 (0–1 scale).

ATM Strike: 25.00, Call: 0.79, Put: 0.62, Straddle Cost: 1.42.

Estimated using ATM implied volatility, OTM option flow, and dealer hedging conditions to capture the market-implied price range.

📘 Show Options Market Insight

1. Core Volatility Signal (3.26% Standardized 1-Day Move)

“The ATM straddle implies a standardized 1-day move of 3.26%.”

This means:

  • Implied volatility is extremely high.
  • The market is pricing major event risk or uncertainty.
  • Large price swings are considered likely.

📌 Plain interpretation: Markets expect major movement — event-level risk is being priced in.

2. Expected Price Range (Next 3 Days)

The options market is pricing the following risk range:
24.35 – 27.73

Upper: +10.44%  •  Lower: -3.03%

🔺 Bullish Skew — upside potential outweighs downside risk.

3. Bullish Flow vs Bearish Flow

▶ Bullish Flow

Upside interest clusters near 29.29 (16.64% above spot).
This region may act as short-term resistance.

▶ Bearish Flow

Downside pressure clusters near 24.11 (3.97% below spot).
This is a downside “magnet zone” where put demand concentrates.

4. Flow Strength: 0.77

Flow strength is moderate to strong, suggesting that today's positioning carries informational value.

5. ATM Straddle Cost

The ATM straddle costs 1.42 (5.66% of spot).

⚠️ Extremely high volatility premium — the market is bracing for a major event.

🔥 Professional Summary

1️⃣ The options market leans toward upside potential.
2️⃣ Implied volatility is high — the market expects significant movement.
3️⃣ Call activity dominates — traders position for upside moves.
4️⃣ FlowStrength 0.77 supports meaningful conviction behind today's positioning.

⭐ One-sentence takeaway: The options market reflects a mild bullish tilt for RGTI.

The insights are generated by an AI-driven options analysis model. We strongly recommend interpreting the data in the context of your own judgment and market understanding.

DPI Trend Index

Dealer Position Index (DPI) tracks how options dealers are positioned. Rising DPI → dealers long options (mean reversion). Falling DPI → dealers short options (trend amplification).
DPI does not predict direction. It only answers one question: once price moves, will the market reinforce that move? DPI reflects the direction and strength of dealer gamma exposure — not a bullish or bearish call.

Latest Trend Interpretation:

⚠️ Bearish finding support, down trend meets maker buying, potential bottom

Gamma Exposure & Expiry Risk Zones

Gamma Exposure (GEX) defines how option dealer hedging interacts with price moves. Large expiries can sharply alter hedging pressure and trigger volatility shifts.

Market GEX vs Price History

Aggregate gamma exposure plotted with underlying price. Sharp GEX declines or flip-zone tests often precede increased volatility.

GEX Danger Zone Overview
Symbol: RGTI • Snapshot: 2025-12-23
Total GEX: 47.03M (Regime: Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility), Flip = 31.78M)
Max Danger Expiry: 2025-12-26 (DTE=3)
Expiry GEX: 14.87M (Contribution=31.6%)
Post-Expiry GEX: 32.16M (Regime: Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility))
Expiry DTE GEX Contrib % Post-Expiry GEX Post Regime Tag
2025-12-26 3 14.87M 31.6% 32.16M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-01-16 24 14.61M 31.1% 32.42M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-01-02 10 5.54M 11.8% 41.49M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-02-20 59 4.88M 10.4% 42.15M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-01-09 17 3.91M 8.3% 43.12M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-05-15 143 1.56M 3.3% 45.47M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2027-01-15 388 588.56K 1.3% 46.44M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-01-23 31 537.4K 1.1% 46.49M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-01-30 38 359.68K 0.8% 46.67M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2028-01-21 759 149.01K 0.3% 46.88M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-08-21 241 24.56K 0.1% 47M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)

Vanna Exposure & Risk Zone

Vanna measures how delta changes when implied volatility shifts. Heavy negative Vanna clusters can amplify volatility during IV shocks.

Current Vanna Exposure Overview
Symbol: RGTI • Snapshot: 2025-12-23
Total Vanna
1.31M
Net delta–vol sensitivity
Vanna Regime
Positive Vanna (Volatility Dampening)
Sensitivity to IV shocks
Max Danger Expiry
2025-12-26 (DTE 3)
Contribution: 347.7%
Large negative Vanna clusters increase hedging pressure during volatility spikes, amplifying directional trends.
Vanna Danger Zone Details
Symbol: RGTI • Snapshot: 2025-12-23
Total Vanna: 1.31M ( Positive Vanna )
Max Danger Expiry: 2025-12-26 (DTE=3)
Expiry Vanna: 4.56M (Contribution=347.7%)
Post-Expiry Vanna: -3.25M (More Negative — Trend Risk ↑)
⚠ This expiry is CRITICAL: removal can sharply increase net negative Vanna, raising volatility sensitivity.
Expiry DTE Vanna Contrib % Post-Expiry Post Regime Tag
2025-12-26 3 4.56M 347.7% -3.25M More Negative (Trend Risk ↑) Critical
2026-01-16 24 -1.97M 150.1% 3.28M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2027-01-15 388 -1.15M 87.3% 2.46M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-01-02 10 520.62K 39.7% 791.89K More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-02-20 59 -334.31K 25.5% 1.65M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2028-01-21 759 -173.52K 13.2% 1.49M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-05-15 143 -74.16K 5.7% 1.39M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-01-23 31 -57.04K 4.3% 1.37M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-01-30 38 -16.52K 1.3% 1.33M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-08-21 241 -11.35K 0.9% 1.32M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-01-09 17 10.49K 0.8% 1.3M More Positive (Stabilizing)

Volatility Structure & Term Structure

Short-dated and medium-term implied volatility, term structure shape, downside skew, and realized volatility context.

ATM IV Term Structure Snapshot
Symbol: RGTI • As of 2025-12-23
30D ATM IV
86.23%
Front-end implied volatility
90D ATM IV
0.00%
Medium-term volatility anchor
IV Ratio (90D / 30D)
0.00
Long-term vs short-term IV
Term Structure Regime
Flat / Neutral Term Structure
Slope: 0.00 pts (30D→90D).

Smile Slope (Put25 – Call25)
9.06%
Downside skew / crash premium
HV 21D vs IV
HV 21D: 108.70%
IV – HV: -22.48%
Options trade cheap vs realized volatility.
IV Percentile / Rank
Percentile: 0.0%
Rank: 0.0%
Relative to 1-year history.
IV Z-Score
-1.70
Deviation vs recent average

ATM IV Term Structure

30D · 90D

IV vs Realized Volatility

HV 21D vs 30D IV
A flat term structure shows no strong time-based volatility skew. Smile slope reflects downside protection demand, while IV percentile and rank show how current IV compares to its own history.

RGTI Max Pain — Daily Levels, Trend, Volatility Pressure & Options Positioning

Daily Max Pain levels with trend shifts, volatility pressure and options positioning cycles.

Max Pain Price Trend Index

Latest Trend Interpretation

Max Pain is stable, reflecting neutral options positioning.

↘️ Trend strength: Mild downward.

🔽 Recent movement: Mild downward pressure in Max Pain.

Trend Shifts

Green = Bullish • Dark Green = Strong Bullish • Gray = Neutral • Red = Bearish • Dark Red = Strong Bearish

Current OI Structure Reliability

OI Concentration / Pain Reliability · Dec 23 2025
Reliability: 27.5 (weak)
Max Pain @ 31.00 | Concentration=0.02 · Symmetry=0.57 · Sharpness=0.95
Reason
OI distribution is weak or irregular — Max Pain signal not reliable.
Advice
Avoid relying on Max Pain alone — options OI structure is not dominant.

Max Pain Price Mean Reversion

Latest Mean Reversion Status
Dec 23 2025
Oversold (Z = -1.11)
Price is trading well below Max Pain, signaling oversold conditions and potential mean reversion upward.
Price vs Max Pain Distance
Show Mean Reversion History
Date Price Max Pain Distance Z-Score Signal
2025-12-23 25.11 31.00 -5.89 -1.11 oversold
2025-12-22 26.88 33.00 -6.12 -1.15 oversold
2025-12-19 23.76 28.00 -4.24 -0.80 neutral
2025-12-18 22.82 28.00 -5.18 -0.98 neutral
2025-12-16 23.96 28.00 -4.04 -0.76 neutral
2025-12-15 23.53 28.00 -4.47 -0.84 neutral
2025-12-12 25.84 33.00 -7.16 -1.35 oversold
2025-12-11 26.88 33.00 -6.12 -1.15 oversold
2025-12-10 26.12 33.00 -6.88 -1.30 oversold
2025-12-09 28.22 33.00 -4.78 -0.90 neutral
2025-12-08 28.26 34.00 -5.74 -1.08 oversold
2025-12-05 28.11 32.50 -4.39 -0.83 neutral
2025-12-04 30.06 34.00 -3.94 -0.74 neutral
2025-12-03 26.04 34.00 -7.96 -1.50 oversold
2025-12-02 23.88 34.00 -10.12 -1.91 oversold
2025-12-01 23.45 35.00 -11.55 -2.17 oversold
2025-11-28 25.57 33.50 -7.93 -1.49 oversold
2025-11-26 25.57 33.00 -7.43 -1.40 oversold
2025-11-25 26.08 33.00 -6.92 -1.30 oversold
2025-11-24 26.57 33.00 -6.43 -1.21 oversold
2025-11-21 23.59 30.00 -6.41 -1.21 oversold
2025-11-20 22.80 30.00 -7.20 -1.36 oversold
2025-11-19 25.46 30.00 -4.54 -0.85 neutral
2025-11-18 25.71 30.00 -4.29 -0.81 neutral
2025-11-17 24.69 28.00 -3.31 -0.62 neutral
2025-11-14 25.48 30.00 -4.52 -0.85 neutral
2025-11-13 25.20 32.00 -6.80 -1.28 oversold
2025-11-12 28.30 32.00 -3.70 -0.70 neutral
2025-11-11 31.40 32.00 -0.60 -0.11 neutral
2025-11-07 33.77 40.00 -6.23 -1.17 oversold
2025-11-06 34.36 36.50 -2.14 -0.40 neutral
2025-11-05 37.29 36.00 1.29 0.24 neutral
2025-11-04 35.18 38.00 -2.82 -0.53 neutral
2025-11-03 39.12 38.00 1.12 0.21 neutral
2025-10-31 44.27 35.50 8.77 1.65 overbought
2025-10-30 42.52 5.00 37.52 7.06 overbought
2025-10-29 39.41 36.00 3.41 0.64 neutral
2025-10-28 37.07 34.50 2.57 0.48 neutral

Mean Reversion Backtest

Backtest Summary
Total Signals: 19 (Long: 17 · Short: 2)
1-Day Performance
Avg Return: 0.85%
Win Rate: 44.4%
3-Day Performance
Avg Return: 1.82%
Win Rate: 52.9%
Show Last 10 Trades
Date Signal Side Entry 1D Ret 3D Ret
2025-12-23 oversold long 25.11 0.00% 0.00%
2025-12-22 oversold long 26.88 -6.58% 0.00%
2025-12-12 oversold long 25.84 -8.94% -11.69%
2025-12-11 oversold long 26.88 -3.87% -10.86%
2025-12-10 oversold long 26.12 2.91% -9.92%
2025-12-08 oversold long 28.26 -0.14% -4.88%
2025-12-03 oversold long 26.04 15.44% 8.53%
2025-12-02 oversold long 23.88 9.05% 17.71%
2025-12-01 oversold long 23.45 1.83% 28.19%
2025-11-28 oversold long 25.57 -8.29% 1.84%

Historical Max Pain Effectiveness

Based on historical behavior (not current OI)
No Historical Effectiveness
Little to no historical alignment between price action and Max Pain.
Win Rate
1D: 47.1%
3D: 52.9%
Reversion Strength
0.17
Noise Score
0.35
Score (Win)
20.2 / 40
Score (Strength)
6.6 / 40
Score (Noise)
7.1 / 20
Historical Effectiveness Score: 34.0 (poor)
Disclaimer

Our analysis incorporates options market microstructure, institutional flow patterns, gamma and vanna dynamics, and dealer hedging models. The analytics and insights provided on this page are generated from a multi-factor options microstructure model, supported by WhaleQuant’s AI forecasting framework. These results reflect structural dynamics such as dealer positioning, hedging flows, volatility regimes, open interest concentration, and term structure behavior.

The outputs shown—including bias assessments and confidence scores—represent directional tendencies based on option market structure and should not be interpreted as price predictions, probability forecasts, or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and all analyses are provided for informational purposes only.