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Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) Corporate Logo

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Real Estate • Industry: REIT - Mortgage

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) Profile & Business Summary

Rithm Capital Corp. provides capital and services to the real estate and financial services sectors in the United States. Its investment portfolio comprises mortgage servicing related assets, residential securities and loans, and consumer loans. It qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. The company generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as New Residential Investment Corp. and changed its name to Rithm Capital Corp. in August 2022. Rithm Capital Corp. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Key Information

Ticker RITM
Leadership Michael Nierenberg
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.rithmcap.com
CIK Number 0001556593
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for RITM

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Current Market Context (Short-Term)

As of 2026-02-06 (ET), RITM is moving sideways. Price at 10.73 is close to support near 10.72. Moves may slow down, and resistance is near 11.02. View Support & Resistance from Options

Why the market looks this way?

Prices have moved back and forth over recent sessions without making steady progress. Trend signals have changed frequently, which suggests the market is stuck in a range. In this environment, chasing moves in either direction is less reliable.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-02-06 (ET)

As of 2026-02-06, RITM is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.

RITM last closed at 10.73. The price is about 2.4 ATR below its recent average price (11.19), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength.

Short-term and long-term trends are aligned to the downside, keeping downside risk dominant.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 45 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Pullback Risk

Price is far from its recent average (about 2.4 ATR away). Chasing the move at this level carries a higher risk of a pullback.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear risk level acting as a key boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-01-30, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-01-14] Trading activity picked up, but price progress remained limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent price action continues to trend lower in a relatively orderly manner, with no clear signs of structural stabilization yet emerging.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for RITM

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.44

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 1.50%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) 54.42%
20-Day Return -5.79%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is at a very high historical level. If price moves against shorts, reactions could be sharp and volatile. (Historical percentile: 94%)

Structure Analysis

RITM Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 1.0 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves.

Bull Trap Structural Risk

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Short interest remains relatively low, limiting forced selling pressure. Current price strength appears broadly supported. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.

Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-01-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

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