Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Financial - Capital Markets
Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) Profile & Business Summary
Raymond James Financial, Inc., a diversified financial services company, provides private client group, capital markets, asset management, banking, and other services to individuals, corporations, and municipalities in the United States, Canada, and Europe. The Private Client Group segment offers investment services, portfolio management services, insurance and annuity products, and mutual funds; support to third-party product partners, including sales and marketing support, as well as distribution and accounting, and administrative services; margin loans; and securities borrowing and lending services. The Capital Markets segment provides investment banking services, including equity underwriting, debt underwriting, and merger and acquisition advisory services; and fixed income and equity brokerage services. The Asset Management segment offers asset management, portfolio management, and related administrative services to retail and institutional clients; and administrative support services, such as record-keeping. The Raymond James Bank segment provides insured deposit accounts; commercial and industrial, commercial real estate (CRE) and CRE construction, tax-exempt, residential, securities-based, and other loans; and loan syndication services. The Other segment engages in the private equity investments, including various direct and third-party private equity investments; and legacy private equity funds. The company was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in St. Petersburg, Florida.
Key Information
| Ticker | RJF |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.raymondjames.com |
Market Trend Overview for RJF
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-28 (ET)
As of 2026-08-28, RJF is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
RJF last closed at 179.36. The price is about 0.8 ATR above its recent average price (176.19), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility. Price at 179.36 is moving between minor support near 175.02 and minor resistance near 182.44. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.
Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 169.31. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
On 2026-08-20, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-08-18] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 61.7% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 61.7%, with predictability at 63% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 14%, while reward/risk stands at 0.24. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 27 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-28. The current price is 179.36, 1.85% above the estimated average cost of 176.10. An estimated 77.6% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 21.4% is above it. The peak-density price is 175.30. The largest concentrated cost region is 174.82 to 177.28 and contains 35.1% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 178.97 to 179.62 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 177.43 to 178.12. The nearest region above the current price is 179.78 to 181.18.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for RJF
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 56%)
Structure Analysis
RJF Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 6.5 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 0/100, DTC percentile 64%) as price consolidates near recent highs (20D return 1.9%).
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.