Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Financial - Capital Markets
Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) Profile & Business Summary
Raymond James Financial, Inc., a diversified financial services company, provides private client group, capital markets, asset management, banking, and other services to individuals, corporations, and municipalities in the United States, Canada, and Europe. The Private Client Group segment offers investment services, portfolio management services, insurance and annuity products, and mutual funds; support to third-party product partners, including sales and marketing support, as well as distribution and accounting, and administrative services; margin loans; and securities borrowing and lending services. The Capital Markets segment provides investment banking services, including equity underwriting, debt underwriting, and merger and acquisition advisory services; and fixed income and equity brokerage services. The Asset Management segment offers asset management, portfolio management, and related administrative services to retail and institutional clients; and administrative support services, such as record-keeping. The Raymond James Bank segment provides insured deposit accounts; commercial and industrial, commercial real estate (CRE) and CRE construction, tax-exempt, residential, securities-based, and other loans; and loan syndication services. The Other segment engages in the private equity investments, including various direct and third-party private equity investments; and legacy private equity funds. The company was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in St. Petersburg, Florida.
Key Information
| Ticker | RJF |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.raymondjames.com |
Market Trend Overview for RJF
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-13 (ET)
As of 2026-07-13, RJF is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
RJF last closed at 166.98. The price is about 1.3 ATR above its recent average price (162.05), and the market is currently in a strong upward move. Price at 166.98 is holding above minor support near 149.73. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 171.62. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term and long-term trends are aligned, and momentum remains healthy, supporting further upside.
Trend score: 95 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.
A key downside risk boundary is near 146.67. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-07-02, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-07-06] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
Selling into the close appeared orderly, consistent with deliberate overnight risk management.
The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 64.5% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.
Up probability is 64.5%, with predictability at 55% and signal agreement at 88%. Reversal risk is 15%, while reward/risk stands at 0.30. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 4.5% above the recent estimated cost basis of 159.81, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is in the lower half of the main cost band (166.11 to 169.05), so price support and pullback behavior matter more than immediate upside follow-through. The lower down support area sits around 164.95 to 165.59. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. About 74% of recent positioning is in profit, so the recent structure is still supported by holders who are not under immediate pressure. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the main question is whether pullbacks remain controlled before price falls back into the lower support zone.