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Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) Corporate Logo

Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Industrials • Industry: Waste Management

Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) Profile & Business Summary

Republic Services, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers environmental services in the United States. The company offers collection and processing of recyclable materials, collection, transfer and disposal of non-hazardous solid waste, and other environmental solutions. Its collection services include curbside collection of material for transport to transfer stations, landfills, or recycling processing centers; supply of recycling and waste containers; and renting of compactors. In addition, the company engages in the processing and sale of old corrugated containers, old newsprint, aluminum, glass, and other materials; and provision of landfill and transfer services. Further, it offers disposal of non-hazardous solid and liquid material and in-plant services, such as transportation and logistics. It serves small-container, large-container, and residential customers. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated through 356 collection operations, 239 transfer stations, 198 active landfills, 71 recycling processing centers, 6 saltwater disposal wells, and 7 deep injection wells, as well as 3 treatment, recovery, and disposal facilities in 41 states. It also operated 77 landfill gas-to-energy and renewable energy projects and had 124 closed landfills. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona.

Key Information

Ticker RSG
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.republicservices.com
CIK Number 0001060391
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for RSG

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-28 (ET)

As of 2026-08-28, RSG is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

RSG last closed at 222.11. The price is about 0.6 ATR above its recent average price (219.23), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 222.11 is moving between minor support near 216.73 and light resistance near 222.66. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 208.58. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-08-13, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-08-17] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-08-28 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-08-31 (ET)
Bullish setup for the next session

What the model sees

The model sees a bullish edge, with 65.0% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.


Why the model says this

Up probability is 65.0%, with predictability at 62% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 16%, while reward/risk stands at 0.26. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-08-28 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 27 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-28. The current price is 222.11, 2.41% above the estimated average cost of 216.88. An estimated 90.4% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 8.1% is above it. The peak-density price is 222.05. The largest concentrated cost region is 219.08 to 221.43 and contains 26.0% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 221.62 to 222.28 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 219.08 to 221.43. The nearest region above the current price is 222.62 to 222.78.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for RSG

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.90

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 1.99%
Short Positions Trend Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -25.19%
20-Day Return 5.49%
Price vs 20-Day High Trading Near Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 11%)

Structure Analysis

RSG Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.8 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Structural fragility is building (Fragility Score 62/100, DTC percentile 86%) as price consolidates near recent highs (20D return 5.5%) with short positioning continuing to expand and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -25%). The structure warrants attention for potential instability.

Risk Summary

Risk conditions are elevated. Recent price strength may be less stable if selling pressure increases.This indicator is intended as a risk filter, not a directional signal. A High or Extreme reading does not predict an immediate move, but suggests that if prices weaken, downside reactions may be more pronounced.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Price is consolidating near highs with a weak upward bias; surface strength may mask a more fragile structure. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. Rising short pressure is occurring while liquidity is deteriorating. High-level consolidation and compression suggest a fragile upside structure. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

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