Sunrun Inc. (RUN) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Energy • Industry: Solar
Sunrun Inc. (RUN) Profile & Business Summary
Sunrun Inc. engages in the design, development, installation, sale, ownership, and maintenance of residential solar energy systems in the United States. It also sells solar energy systems and products, such as panels and racking; and solar leads generated to customers. In addition, the company offers battery storage along with solar energy systems. Its primary customers are residential homeowners. The company markets and sells its products through direct-to-consumer approach across online, retail, mass media, digital media, canvassing, field marketing, and referral channels, as well as its partner network. Sunrun Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Key Information
| Ticker | RUN |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.sunrun.com |
Market Trend Overview for RUN
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-28 (ET)
As of 2026-08-28, RUN is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
RUN last closed at 8.78. The price is about 0.8 ATR below its recent average price (9.53), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 8.78 is near minor support around 8.61. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 10.45. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term weakness is unfolding within a broader uptrend, suggesting a pullback rather than a full trend reversal.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
On 2026-06-05, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-08-28] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.Bearish signal near support (0.30 ATR away). Buyers may defend this level. Pattern is less clear, so strength is reduced.
Recent price movement appears increasingly driven by low-effort advances. Such hollow progression often reflects reduced participation and lower reliability of continuation.
Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.
The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.
The model does not deploy this setup because the signal stack remains conflicted, price is still close to a gamma transition zone, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory, and there is meaningful next-session pullback or digestion risk. Predictability is 54%, agreement is 100%, and reversal risk is 24%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 27 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-28. The current price is 8.78, 9.70% below the estimated average cost of 9.72. An estimated 0.2% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 99.7% is above it. The peak-density price is 9.84. The largest concentrated cost region is 9.63 to 10.12 and contains 39.8% of the estimated distribution. The nearest region above the current price is 8.93 to 9.21.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for RUN
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 44%)
Structure Analysis
RUN Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 7.2 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -10.5%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Short positioning is elevated both relative to its own history and in absolute short-interest terms. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.