Sunrun Inc. (RUN) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Energy • Industry: Solar
Sunrun Inc. (RUN) Profile & Business Summary
Sunrun Inc. engages in the design, development, installation, sale, ownership, and maintenance of residential solar energy systems in the United States. It also sells solar energy systems and products, such as panels and racking; and solar leads generated to customers. In addition, the company offers battery storage along with solar energy systems. Its primary customers are residential homeowners. The company markets and sells its products through direct-to-consumer approach across online, retail, mass media, digital media, canvassing, field marketing, and referral channels, as well as its partner network. Sunrun Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Key Information
| Ticker | RUN |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.sunrun.com |
Market Trend Overview for RUN
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-03-25 (ET)
As of 2026-03-25, RUN is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
RUN last closed at 13.04. The price is about 0.3 ATR above its recent average price (12.71), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 13.04 is moving between minor support near 11.98 and minor resistance near 13.57. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.
Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear risk level acting as a key boundary right now.
On 2026-03-20, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-03-19] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent price action shows orderly upward progression with no major deterioration in bar-level efficiency. Structural conditions remain broadly constructive.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 2.9% above the recent estimated cost basis of 12.67, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is in the upper half of the main cost band (12.69 to 13.19), which is usually a healthier short-term location because price is holding the stronger side of recent trading activity. About 80% of recent positioning is in profit, which is a strong backdrop, but it also means momentum needs to stay healthy to avoid profit-taking pressure. Recent trading is fairly concentrated, so the nearby heavy zones may matter more than usual. From a trading point of view, the structure still looks constructive, but with so much recent positioning already in profit, the main thing to watch is whether momentum stays orderly.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for RUN
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is at a very high historical level. If price moves against shorts, reactions could be sharp and volatile. (Historical percentile: 92%)
Structure Analysis
RUN Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 4.3 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -33.3%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-02-27 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.