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S Options Chain — Open Interest, Implied Volatility, Max Pain & Gamma Exposure

Analyze the complete S options chain including strike-level open interest, real-time implied volatility (IV), max pain levels, gamma exposure, dealer positioning, and options flow trends. This dashboard provides data-driven insights for traders building directional or hedging strategies around S.

Latest Data: 2025-12-23 (EDT)
Max Pain Price
16.5
Exp: 2025-12-26
Gamma Flip
13.56
Gamma Flip (≈60 days)
Put/Call OI Ratio
0.438
Shows put vs call positioning
IV Skew
-0.39
Put–call IV difference
Max Pain Price Volatility
σ = 1.35
low volatility

Dealer–Gamma Regime

A combined view of S’s total gamma exposure (GEX) and Dealer Position Index (DPI). This helps identify whether dealer hedging flows support mean reversion or trend continuation in the current options market.

Overall Market Regime
Mean Reversion Zone
Long Gamma · Strong Net Short Options · Low Volatility
Low Volatility Mean Reversion Bias DPI Trend: bearish

Gamma Exposure
Total GEX
35.66M
Gamma Regime
Long Gamma
Flip Threshold: 14

In a long gamma regime, dealers hedge against price moves, strengthening mean reversion and suppressing volatility.

Dealer Position Index (DPI)
Current DPI
0.204
Dealer Positioning
Strong Net Short Options
Trend Label: bearish

A Strong Net Short Options profile indicates how dealers hedge daily flows, influencing whether trends extend or revert.


Market Behavior (Gamma Flip–Based)

Price moves are likely to stay range-bound.

The short-term gamma flip is near 13.55 , with intermediate positioning around 13.56 . The mid-term gamma flip remains near 13.51.


Combined Interpretation

With Long Gamma and a bearish DPI trend , the current setup favors Mean Reversion Zone .

Dealer hedging flows interact with gamma positioning to form short-term volatility regimes. Stronger directional movement is more likely when gamma is short or unstable.

Volatility Environment
Low Volatility
Trend vs Mean Reversion
Mean Reversion Bias
Dealer Hedging Behavior
Strong Net Short Options

Options-Based Market Outlook & Short-Term Sentiment for S • As of 2025-12-23
Bullish Bias (Confidence: 62%)

The options data shows a moderate bullish tilt. There is some directional support, though momentum remains limited. Medium confidence reflects partial agreement across option-based signals.


Put-Side Positioning Insight
On the put side, the bearish positioning looks mainly like hedging. This reflects caution and short-term protection rather than a true bearish call. Confidence: 100%


Key Price Levels: Support, Resistance & Pivot for S
The support levels for S are at 14.66, 14.52, and 14.04, while the resistance levels are at 14.84, 14.98, and 15.46. The pivot point, a key reference price for traders, is at 16.50.

Important intraday and swing-trading price levels derived from max pain, open interest distribution, and gamma positioning. These price levels are derived from Max Pain analysis, gamma exposure trends, and open interest dynamics, which are crucial factors for assessing market sentiment and potential price movements. Traders can use the support and resistance levels to identify key price zones for entry or exit points, while the pivot point serves as an important reference for gauging trend direction.


Option-Implied Price Range (DTE: 3)
Based on the latest options positioning (DTE 3), the ATM straddle implies a standardized 1.27% 1-day move.
The expected range for the next 3 days is 14.34 16.07 , corresponding to +8.97% / -2.78% .

Bullish flow suggests upside interest toward 17.21 (16.67% above spot).

Bearish positioning points to downside pressure toward 14.06 (4.69% below spot).

Options flow strength: 0.49 (0–1 scale).

ATM Strike: 15.00, Call: 0.08, Put: 0.25, Straddle Cost: 0.33.

Estimated using ATM implied volatility, OTM option flow, and dealer hedging conditions to capture the market-implied price range.

📘 Show Options Market Insight

1. Core Volatility Signal (1.27% Standardized 1-Day Move)

“The ATM straddle implies a standardized 1-day move of 1.27%.”

This means:

  • Implied volatility is within normal range.
  • Price movement expectations are typical for S.
  • The market is not signaling unusually high risk.

📌 Plain interpretation: Normal volatility — nothing unusual is being priced.

2. Expected Price Range (Next 3 Days)

The options market is pricing the following risk range:
14.34 – 16.07

Upper: +8.97%  •  Lower: -2.78%

🔺 Bullish Skew — upside potential outweighs downside risk.

3. Bullish Flow vs Bearish Flow

▶ Bullish Flow

Upside interest clusters near 17.21 (16.67% above spot).
This region may act as short-term resistance.

▶ Bearish Flow

Downside pressure clusters near 14.06 (4.69% below spot).
This is a downside “magnet zone” where put demand concentrates.

4. Flow Strength: 0.49

Flow strength is weak — option activity is scattered or light, making directional signals less reliable.

5. ATM Straddle Cost

The ATM straddle costs 0.33 (2.20% of spot).

Traders are pricing elevated volatility, likely due to upcoming catalysts or uncertainty.

🔥 Professional Summary

1️⃣ The options market leans toward upside potential.
2️⃣ Implied volatility is within normal range for near-term movement.
3️⃣ Call activity dominates — traders position for upside moves.
4️⃣ FlowStrength 0.49 indicates moderate informational value.

⭐ One-sentence takeaway: The options market reflects a mild bullish tilt for S.

The insights are generated by an AI-driven options analysis model. We strongly recommend interpreting the data in the context of your own judgment and market understanding.

DPI Trend Index

Dealer Position Index (DPI) tracks how options dealers are positioned. Rising DPI → dealers long options (mean reversion). Falling DPI → dealers short options (trend amplification).
DPI does not predict direction. It only answers one question: once price moves, will the market reinforce that move? DPI reflects the direction and strength of dealer gamma exposure — not a bullish or bearish call.

Latest Trend Interpretation:

⚠️ Bearish finding support, down trend meets maker buying, potential bottom

Gamma Exposure & Expiry Risk Zones

Gamma Exposure (GEX) defines how option dealer hedging interacts with price moves. Large expiries can sharply alter hedging pressure and trigger volatility shifts.

Market GEX vs Price History

Aggregate gamma exposure plotted with underlying price. Sharp GEX declines or flip-zone tests often precede increased volatility.

GEX Danger Zone Overview
Symbol: S • Snapshot: 2025-12-23
Total GEX: 35.66M (Regime: Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility), Flip = 22.24M)
Max Danger Expiry: 2026-01-16 (DTE=24)
Expiry GEX: 16.64M (Contribution=46.7%)
Post-Expiry GEX: 19.02M (Regime: Gamma Flip Zone (High Trend Probability))
⚠ This expiry is CRITICAL: removal may push GEX into Flip Zone or weaken gamma support sharply.
Expiry DTE GEX Contrib % Post-Expiry GEX Post Regime Tag
2026-01-16 24 16.64M 46.7% 19.02M Gamma Flip Zone (High Trend Probability) Critical
2026-03-20 87 4.15M 11.6% 31.51M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2025-12-26 3 3.69M 10.3% 31.97M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-09-18 269 3.11M 8.7% 32.55M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-01-02 10 2.96M 8.3% 32.7M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-06-18 177 2.1M 5.9% 33.56M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-01-09 17 1.4M 3.9% 34.26M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2027-01-15 388 816.41K 2.3% 34.85M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-01-23 31 422.74K 1.2% 35.24M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-02-20 59 185.47K 0.5% 35.48M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2026-01-30 38 93.05K 0.3% 35.57M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)
2028-01-21 759 91.72K 0.3% 35.57M Long Gamma (Mean Reversion / Low Volatility)

Vanna Exposure & Risk Zone

Vanna measures how delta changes when implied volatility shifts. Heavy negative Vanna clusters can amplify volatility during IV shocks.

Current Vanna Exposure Overview
Symbol: S • Snapshot: 2025-12-23
Total Vanna
6.98M
Net delta–vol sensitivity
Vanna Regime
Positive Vanna (Volatility Dampening)
Sensitivity to IV shocks
Max Danger Expiry
2026-01-16 (DTE 24)
Contribution: 47.7%
Large negative Vanna clusters increase hedging pressure during volatility spikes, amplifying directional trends.
Vanna Danger Zone Details
Symbol: S • Snapshot: 2025-12-23
Total Vanna: 6.98M ( Positive Vanna )
Max Danger Expiry: 2026-01-16 (DTE=24)
Expiry Vanna: 3.33M (Contribution=47.7%)
Post-Expiry Vanna: 3.65M (More Positive — Volatility Dampening)
⚠ This expiry is CRITICAL: removal can sharply increase net negative Vanna, raising volatility sensitivity.
Expiry DTE Vanna Contrib % Post-Expiry Post Regime Tag
2026-01-16 24 3.33M 47.7% 3.65M More Positive (Stabilizing) Critical
2026-03-20 87 1.26M 18.1% 5.72M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2025-12-26 3 605.68K 8.7% 6.37M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-06-18 177 601.57K 8.6% 6.38M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2027-01-15 388 484.86K 6.9% 6.49M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-01-02 10 451.73K 6.5% 6.53M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-01-09 17 235.07K 3.4% 6.74M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-09-18 269 -100.08K 1.4% 7.08M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-01-23 31 81.73K 1.2% 6.9M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-02-20 59 38.74K 0.6% 6.94M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2028-01-21 759 -10.58K 0.2% 6.99M More Positive (Stabilizing)
2026-01-30 38 -474 0.0% 6.98M More Positive (Stabilizing)

Volatility Structure & Term Structure

Short-dated and medium-term implied volatility, term structure shape, downside skew, and realized volatility context.

ATM IV Term Structure Snapshot
Symbol: S • As of 2025-12-23
30D ATM IV
42.65%
Front-end implied volatility
90D ATM IV
50.32%
Medium-term volatility anchor
IV Ratio (90D / 30D)
1.18
Long-term vs short-term IV
Term Structure Regime
Contango (Long-term Elevated)
Slope: 7.67 pts (30D→90D).

Smile Slope (Put25 – Call25)
-4.18%
Downside skew / crash premium
HV 21D vs IV
HV 21D: 60.46%
IV – HV: -17.81%
Options trade cheap vs realized volatility.
IV Percentile / Rank
Percentile: 0.0%
Rank: 0.0%
Relative to 1-year history.
IV Z-Score
-1.17
Deviation vs recent average

ATM IV Term Structure

30D · 90D

IV vs Realized Volatility

HV 21D vs 30D IV
A contango structure shows longer-term volatility is priced higher. Smile slope reflects downside protection demand, while IV percentile and rank show how current IV compares to its own history.

S Max Pain — Daily Levels, Trend, Volatility Pressure & Options Positioning

Daily Max Pain levels with trend shifts, volatility pressure and options positioning cycles.

Max Pain Price Trend Index

Latest Trend Interpretation

📈 Max Pain is rising, suggesting upward pressure from options positioning.

➖ Trend strength: Very weak — no meaningful direction.

➖ Recent movement: Largely unchanged.

Trend Shifts

Green = Bullish • Dark Green = Strong Bullish • Gray = Neutral • Red = Bearish • Dark Red = Strong Bearish

Current OI Structure Reliability

OI Concentration / Pain Reliability · Dec 23 2025
Reliability: 41.5 (moderate)
Max Pain @ 16.50 | Concentration=0.08 · Symmetry=0.50 · Sharpness=2.33
Reason
Some OI clustering exists but lacks clear dominance.
Advice
Treat Max Pain as secondary — combine with gamma, DPI, or trend.

Max Pain Price Mean Reversion

Latest Mean Reversion Status
Dec 23 2025
Oversold (Z = -1.30)
Price is trading well below Max Pain, signaling oversold conditions and potential mean reversion upward.
Price vs Max Pain Distance
Show Mean Reversion History
Date Price Max Pain Distance Z-Score Signal
2025-12-23 14.75 16.50 -1.75 -1.30 oversold
2025-12-22 14.93 16.00 -1.07 -0.80 neutral
2025-12-19 14.73 22.00 -7.27 -5.41 oversold
2025-12-18 14.61 22.00 -7.39 -5.49 oversold
2025-12-16 14.80 21.00 -6.20 -4.61 oversold
2025-12-15 14.84 21.00 -6.16 -4.58 oversold
2025-12-12 15.08 17.00 -1.92 -1.43 oversold
2025-12-11 14.99 17.50 -2.51 -1.87 oversold
2025-12-10 15.24 17.50 -2.26 -1.68 oversold
2025-12-09 14.84 17.50 -2.66 -1.98 oversold
2025-12-08 14.88 17.00 -2.12 -1.58 oversold
2025-12-05 14.52 18.50 -3.98 -2.96 oversold
2025-12-04 16.97 19.00 -2.03 -1.51 oversold
2025-12-03 16.96 18.50 -1.54 -1.14 oversold
2025-12-02 16.61 18.50 -1.89 -1.41 oversold
2025-12-01 16.08 18.50 -2.42 -1.80 oversold
2025-11-28 16.21 15.50 0.71 0.53 neutral
2025-11-26 15.94 19.50 -3.56 -2.65 oversold
2025-11-25 16.23 19.50 -3.27 -2.43 oversold
2025-11-24 15.65 19.50 -3.85 -2.86 oversold
2025-11-21 15.70 19.00 -3.30 -2.45 oversold
2025-11-20 15.56 18.00 -2.44 -1.81 oversold
2025-11-19 16.12 18.00 -1.88 -1.40 oversold
2025-11-18 16.17 18.00 -1.83 -1.36 oversold
2025-11-17 16.16 18.00 -1.84 -1.37 oversold
2025-11-14 16.79 18.50 -1.71 -1.27 oversold
2025-11-13 16.51 18.50 -1.99 -1.48 oversold
2025-11-12 17.14 18.50 -1.36 -1.01 oversold
2025-11-11 17.28 18.50 -1.22 -0.91 neutral
2025-11-07 16.92 18.50 -1.58 -1.17 oversold
2025-11-06 16.36 18.50 -2.14 -1.59 oversold
2025-11-05 16.77 18.50 -1.73 -1.29 oversold
2025-11-04 16.87 18.50 -1.63 -1.21 oversold
2025-11-03 17.68 19.00 -1.32 -0.98 neutral
2025-10-31 17.85 18.00 -0.15 -0.11 neutral
2025-10-30 17.01 18.50 -1.49 -1.11 oversold
2025-10-29 16.88 18.50 -1.62 -1.20 oversold
2025-10-28 17.65 18.50 -0.85 -0.63 neutral

Mean Reversion Backtest

Backtest Summary
Total Signals: 32 (Long: 32 · Short: 0)
1-Day Performance
Avg Return: -0.10%
Win Rate: 54.8%
3-Day Performance
Avg Return: -0.98%
Win Rate: 46.7%
Show Last 10 Trades
Date Signal Side Entry 1D Ret 3D Ret
2025-12-23 oversold long 14.75 0.00% 0.00%
2025-12-19 oversold long 14.73 1.36% 0.00%
2025-12-18 oversold long 14.61 0.82% 0.96%
2025-12-16 oversold long 14.80 -1.28% 0.88%
2025-12-15 oversold long 14.84 -0.27% -0.74%
2025-12-12 oversold long 15.08 -1.59% -3.12%
2025-12-11 oversold long 14.99 0.60% -1.27%
2025-12-10 oversold long 15.24 -1.64% -2.62%
2025-12-09 oversold long 14.84 2.70% 1.62%
2025-12-08 oversold long 14.88 -0.27% 0.74%

Historical Max Pain Effectiveness

Based on historical behavior (not current OI)
No Historical Effectiveness
Little to no historical alignment between price action and Max Pain.
Win Rate
1D: 54.8%
3D: 48.4%
Reversion Strength
0.00
Noise Score
0.90
Score (Win)
20.4 / 40
Score (Strength)
0.0 / 40
Score (Noise)
18.0 / 20
Historical Effectiveness Score: 38.3 (poor)
Disclaimer

Our analysis incorporates options market microstructure, institutional flow patterns, gamma and vanna dynamics, and dealer hedging models. The analytics and insights provided on this page are generated from a multi-factor options microstructure model, supported by WhaleQuant’s AI forecasting framework. These results reflect structural dynamics such as dealer positioning, hedging flows, volatility regimes, open interest concentration, and term structure behavior.

The outputs shown—including bias assessments and confidence scores—represent directional tendencies based on option market structure and should not be interpreted as price predictions, probability forecasts, or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and all analyses are provided for informational purposes only.