iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management
iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) Profile & Business Summary
The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its index and may invest up to 20% of its assets in certain futures, options and swap contracts, cash and cash equivalents. The fund is non-diversified.
Key Information
Market Trend Overview for SOXX
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-28 (ET)
As of 2026-08-28, SOXX is moving sideways with low volatility. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
SOXX last closed at 508.62. The price is about 1.3 ATR below its recent average price (533.72), and the market is currently in a sideways market with low volatility. Price at 508.62 is moving between minor support near 498.93 and minor resistance near 533.74. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
Price is moving in a tight range. This often leads to a stronger move once the range breaks, increasing one-sided risk.
Trend score: 40 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways phase with tightening price movement. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
On 2026-08-18, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-08-21] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model still sees a directional lean, but the edge is not thick enough after adjusting for reward/risk.
The model does not deploy this setup because the directional lean exists, but the edge is still not thick enough after risk adjustment, reward/risk remains too thin at -0.11 after adjustment, price is still close to a gamma transition zone, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory, and there is meaningful next-session pullback or digestion risk. Predictability is 57%, agreement is 93%, and reversal risk is 25%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 27 trading days, with relative-volume decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-28. The current price is 508.62, 1.64% below the estimated average cost of 517.11. An estimated 4.2% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 91.3% is above it. The peak-density price is 520.50. The largest concentrated cost region is 518.25 to 521.75 and contains 48.7% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 507.75 to 510.25 cost region. The nearest region above the current price is 518.25 to 521.75.