iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management
iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) Profile & Business Summary
The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its index and may invest up to 20% of its assets in certain futures, options and swap contracts, cash and cash equivalents. The fund is non-diversified.
Key Information
Market Trend Overview for SOXX
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-14 (ET)
As of 2026-07-14, SOXX is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
SOXX last closed at 567.92. The price is about 1.7 ATR below its recent average price (588.67), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 567.92 is near minor support around 536.12. Momentum may slow, while light resistance sits near 584.50. View Support & Resistance from Options
The broader uptrend is still intact, but price has moved far from its recent average, increasing the risk of a pullback.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 480.32. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
On 2026-07-02, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-07-10] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.
The model does not deploy this setup because internal signals are not aligned strongly enough and price is still close to a gamma transition zone. Predictability is 33%, agreement is 47%, and reversal risk is 25%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 3.3% below the recent estimated cost basis of 587.40, so the recent structure is still leaning under pressure. Price is in the upper half of the main cost band (544.35 to 583.61), which is usually a healthier short-term location because price is holding the stronger side of recent trading activity. The lower down support area sits around 544.35 to 545.95. The higher up selling area sits around 578.81 to 614.87, so rebounds may begin to slow as price pushes into that zone. Roughly 71% of recent positioning remains under water, so rebound attempts can still run into supply from trapped holders. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the structure is still best read by comparing price with the main cost band first, then watching whether the lower support zone or higher supply zone becomes the next directional checkpoint.