SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: AMEX • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Profile & Business Summary
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is an Exchange traded fund. The fund seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500® Index. The S&P 500® Index is composed of five hundred selected stocks. SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust was founded on January 22, 1993 and is headquartered in New York, NY.
Key Information
| Ticker | SPY |
|---|---|
| Exchange | AMEX |
| Official Site | http://www.spdrs.com |
Market Trend Overview for SPY
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-17 (ET)
As of 2026-08-17, SPY is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
SPY last closed at 772.67. The price is about 0.4 ATR above its recent average price (769.29), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 772.67 is moving between minor support near 769.20 and minor resistance near 776.85. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.
Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 745.55. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-08-04, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-08-17] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.Bearish signal near resistance (0.57 ATR away). Reversal risk is higher. Pattern is less clear, so strength is reduced.
Recent price movement appears increasingly driven by low-effort advances. Such hollow progression often reflects reduced participation and lower reliability of continuation.
Selling into the close appeared orderly, consistent with deliberate overnight risk management.
As of 2026-08-13, price has extended significantly above its primary volume area, entering a liquidity-thin zone. While the uptrend remains intact, the risk of chasing strength has increased.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 60.3% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 60.3%, with predictability at 52% and signal agreement at 92%. Reversal risk is 23%. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, price is still close to a gamma transition zone.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 18 trading days, with relative-volume decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-17. The current price is 772.67, 0.27% below the estimated average cost of 774.79. An estimated 0.4% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 98.4% is above it. The peak-density price is 775.20. The largest concentrated cost region is 774.90 to 775.70 and contains 62.3% of the estimated distribution. The nearest region above the current price is 773.10 to 773.30.