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Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) Corporate Logo

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Technology • Industry: Computer Hardware

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) Profile & Business Summary

Seagate Technology Holdings plc provides data storage technology and solutions in Singapore, the United States, the Netherlands, and internationally. It provides mass capacity storage products, including enterprise nearline hard disk drives (HDDs), enterprise nearline solid state drives (SSDs), enterprise nearline systems, video and image HDDs, and network-attached storage drives. The company also offers legacy applications comprising Mission Critical HDDs and SSDs; external storage solutions under the Seagate Ultra Touch, One Touch, and Expansion product lines, as well as under the LaCie brand name; desktop drives; notebook drives, DVR HDDs, and gaming SSDs. In addition, it provides Lyve edge-to-cloud mass capacity platform. The company sells its products primarily to OEMs, distributors, and retailers. Seagate Technology Holdings plc was founded in 1978 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.

Key Information

Ticker STX
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site https://www.seagate.com
CIK Number 0001137789
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for STX

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-03-25 (ET)

As of 2026-03-25, STX is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

STX last closed at 413.22. The price is about 0.6 ATR above its recent average price (404.47), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 413.22 is moving between light support near 394.24 and light resistance near 426.50. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside level is near 322.41. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-03-17, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-03-12] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-03-25 (ET)
STX is not currently in a trend-dominant environment, so the trend prediction model is not activated for this run.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-03-25 (ET)

This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 3.6% above the recent estimated cost basis of 398.91, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is in the lower half of the main cost band (405.37 to 425.03), so price support and pullback behavior matter more than immediate upside follow-through. The lower down support area sits around 382.14 to 389.29. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. About 66% of recent positioning is in profit, so the recent structure is still supported by holders who are not under immediate pressure. From a trading point of view, the main question is whether pullbacks remain controlled before price falls back into the lower support zone.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for STX

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.31

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 4.53%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -37.59%
20-Day Return -2.05%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 5%)

Structure Analysis

STX Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 3.5 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 18/100, DTC percentile 17%) and liquidity contracting meaningfully (volume -38%).

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Average trading volume is weakening, indicating contracting liquidity. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-02-27 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules