ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (SVXY) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: CBOE • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management - Leveraged
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (SVXY) Profile & Business Summary
The index seeks to offer exposure to market volatility through publicly traded futures markets and is designed to measure the implied volatility of the S&P 500 over 30 days in the future.
Key Information
Market Trend Overview for SVXY
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-03-25 (ET)
As of 2026-03-25, SVXY is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
SVXY last closed at 47.02. The price is about 2.8 ATR below its recent average price (50.13), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 47.02 is near light support around 46.66. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 49.11. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term weakness is unfolding within a broader uptrend, suggesting a pullback rather than a full trend reversal.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
Price is far from its recent average (about 2.8 ATR away). Chasing the move at this level carries a higher risk of a pullback.
There is no clear risk level acting as a key boundary right now.
On 2026-01-20, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-02-24] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.
The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.
The model does not deploy this setup because predictability is still too low, internal signals are not aligned strongly enough, and price is still close to a gamma transition zone. Predictability is 10%, agreement is 31%, and reversal risk is 32%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is modestly below the recent estimated cost basis of 47.89, so the recent structure is still leaning somewhat under pressure. Price is in the upper half of the main cost band (46.58 to 47.41), which is usually a healthier short-term location because price is holding the stronger side of recent trading activity. The lower down support area sits around 46.09 to 46.18. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. The higher up selling area sits around 48.82 to 48.90, so rebounds may begin to slow as price pushes into that zone. Recent positioning looks fairly balanced, with 37% in profit and 63% under water. From a trading point of view, the structure is still best read by comparing price with the main cost band first, then watching whether the lower support zone or higher supply zone becomes the next directional checkpoint.