ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (SVXY) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: CBOE • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management - Leveraged
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (SVXY) Profile & Business Summary
The index seeks to offer exposure to market volatility through publicly traded futures markets and is designed to measure the implied volatility of the S&P 500 over 30 days in the future.
Key Information
Market Trend Overview for SVXY
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-28 (ET)
As of 2026-08-28, SVXY is starting to move higher. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
SVXY last closed at 62.55. The price is about 1.4 ATR above its recent average price (61.35), and the market is currently in an early upward move. Price at 62.55 is holding above minor support near 61.36. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 63.74. View Support & Resistance from Options
The trend is still positive, but signs of slowing momentum suggest growing two-sided risk.
Trend score: 80 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in an early-stage uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.
A key downside risk boundary is near 59.11. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-06-22, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-08-26] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 67.1% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.
Up probability is 67.1%, with predictability at 63% and signal agreement at 86%. Reversal risk is 13%, while reward/risk stands at 0.34. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 27 trading days, with relative-volume decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-28. The current price is 62.55, 0.04% below the estimated average cost of 62.58. An estimated 24.9% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 71.7% is above it. The peak-density price is 62.64. The largest concentrated cost region is 62.51 to 62.71 and contains 74.8% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 62.51 to 62.71 cost region.