ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (SVXY) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: CBOE • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management - Leveraged
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (SVXY) Profile & Business Summary
The index seeks to offer exposure to market volatility through publicly traded futures markets and is designed to measure the implied volatility of the S&P 500 over 30 days in the future.
Key Information
Market Trend Overview for SVXY
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-14 (ET)
As of 2026-07-14, SVXY is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
SVXY last closed at 58.00. The price is about 0.8 ATR above its recent average price (56.62), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 58.00 is moving between minor support near 56.33 and minor resistance near 58.62. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.
Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 54.04. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-06-22, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-06-30] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 59.6% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 59.6%, with predictability at 51% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 22%. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, price is still close to a gamma transition zone and recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is modestly above the recent estimated cost basis of 57.05, so the recent structure is still on the firmer side. Price is in the upper half of the main cost band (57.38 to 58.30), which is usually a healthier short-term location because price is holding the stronger side of recent trading activity. The nearby support area sits around 57.86 to 57.93. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. About 76% of recent positioning is in profit, so the recent structure is still supported by holders who are not under immediate pressure. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the trend still has support. The main question is whether pullbacks stay orderly above or near 57.86 to 57.93.