The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Apparel - Retail
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) Profile & Business Summary
The TJX Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an off-price apparel and home fashions retailer. It operates through four segments: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. The company sells family apparel, including footwear and accessories; home fashions, such as home basics, furniture, rugs, lighting products, giftware, soft home products, decorative accessories, tabletop, and cookware, as well as expanded pet, kids, and gourmet food departments; jewelry and accessories; and other merchandise. As of February 23, 2022, it operated 1,284 T.J. Maxx, 1,148 Marshalls, 850 HomeGoods, 59 Sierra, and 39 Homesense stores, as well as tjmaxx.com, marshalls.com, and sierra.com in the United States; 293 Winners, 147 HomeSense, and 106 Marshalls stores in Canada; 618 T.K. Maxx and 77 Homesense stores, as well as tkmaxx.com in Europe; and 68 T.K. Maxx stores in Australia. The company was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Framingham, Massachusetts.
Key Information
| Ticker | TJX |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.tjx.com |
Market Trend Overview for TJX
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-13 (ET)
As of 2026-10-13, TJX is starting to move higher. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
TJX last closed at 141.49. The price is about 1.2 ATR above its recent average price (136.83), and the market is currently in an early upward move. Price at 141.49 is holding above minor support near 128.57. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 142.49. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term strength is developing against a weaker long-term trend, which increases the risk of downside reversals.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in an early-stage uptrend. The longer-term trend is still negative, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 129.05. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-09-29, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 60.0% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 60.0%, with predictability at 48% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 16%, while reward/risk stands at 0.20. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 58 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-13. The current price is 141.49, 2.77% above the estimated average cost of 137.67. An estimated 79.2% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 20.5% is above it. The peak-density price is 138.90. The largest concentrated cost region is 129.75 to 134.65 and contains 27.8% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 140.05 to 141.75 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 139.55 to 139.75. The nearest region above the current price is 146.55 to 146.85.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for TJX
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is at a very high historical level. If price moves against shorts, reactions could be sharp and volatile. (Historical percentile: 99%)
Structure Analysis
TJX Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 1.8 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 0/100, DTC percentile 31%) despite a strong upward price move (20D return 13.6%).
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-09-30 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.