iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management - Bonds
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Profile & Business Summary
The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index, and it will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that the advisor believes will help the fund track the underlying index. The underlying index measures the performance of public obligations of the U.S. Treasury that have a remaining maturity greater than or equal to twenty years.
Key Information
Market Trend Overview for TLT
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-03-25 (ET)
As of 2026-03-25, TLT is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
TLT last closed at 86.84. The price is about 1.1 ATR below its recent average price (87.52), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 86.84 is moving between light support near 86.54 and light resistance near 87.73. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.
Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear risk level acting as a key boundary right now.
On 2026-03-05, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-02-25] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is only slightly below the recent estimated cost basis of 87.43. Price is below the main cost band (86.94 to 87.62), so this area is still important on any rebound attempt. The nearby support area sits around 86.74 to 86.84. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. The next higher selling area sits around 86.96 to 87.52, and overhead supply looks fairly concentrated there. Recent positioning looks fairly balanced, with 35% in profit and 65% under water. From a trading point of view, the key is whether nearby support continues to hold well enough for price to challenge the next overhead area.