Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Auto - Manufacturers
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Profile & Business Summary
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty after-sales vehicle, used vehicles, retail merchandise, and vehicle insurance services. This segment also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. The Energy Generation and Storage segment engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners; and provision of service and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty, as well as various financing options to its solar customers. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Key Information
| Ticker | TSLA |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.tesla.com |
Market Trend Overview for TSLA
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-17 (ET)
As of 2026-07-17, TSLA is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
TSLA last closed at 380.84. The price is about 1.7 ATR below its recent average price (406.22), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 380.84 is near light support around 380.15. Momentum may slow, while light resistance sits near 383.14. View Support & Resistance from Options
The broader uptrend is still intact, but price has moved far from its recent average, increasing the risk of a pullback.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 377.71. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
On 2026-07-13, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-07-09] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Price continues to move lower, yet selling efficiency has weakened as effort rises. This pattern is often observed near late-stage declines, where downside momentum may be losing effectiveness.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model does not deploy the setup because the current position looks stretched and more vulnerable to pullback or digestion.
The model does not deploy this setup because pullback risk is 57%, entry geometry is unfavorable at the current location, reversal risk is already elevated, price is still close to a gamma transition zone, and the setup already looks stretched. Predictability is 44%, agreement is 86%, and reversal risk is 45%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 4.3% below the recent estimated cost basis of 398.13, so the recent structure is still leaning under pressure. Price is below the main cost band (388.32 to 400.25), and roughly 91% of recent positioning remains under water. That means rebounds can still run into supply from trapped holders. The broader structure still looks stretched on the weak side, so recovery attempts may need more proof before improving the tone. The higher up selling area sits around 388.32 to 400.25, so rebounds may begin to slow as price pushes into that zone. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, this setup remains tougher until price can reclaim the lower edge of the main cost band near 388.32.