Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Consumer Cyclical • Industry: Auto - Manufacturers
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Profile & Business Summary
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty after-sales vehicle, used vehicles, retail merchandise, and vehicle insurance services. This segment also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. The Energy Generation and Storage segment engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners; and provision of service and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty, as well as various financing options to its solar customers. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Key Information
| Ticker | TSLA |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Official Site | https://www.tesla.com |
Market Trend Overview for TSLA
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-11-05 (ET)
As of 2026-11-05, TSLA is breaking down after a failed trend. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
TSLA last closed at 343.69. The price is about 2.0 ATR below its recent average price (378.71), and the market is currently in a breakdown after a failed trend. Price at 343.69 has weakened below prior structure. Next light support lies near 342.53, while resistance is around 351.26. View Support & Resistance from Options
The prior trend has broken down. Downside risk is higher, and the market may need time to stabilize before a new direction forms.
Trend score: 20 out of 100. Overall alignment is weak. The market is currently in a breakdown following a failed trend. Trend alignment is weak, and recent signals suggest the structure may be breaking down.
Price is stretched well below its recent average (about 2.0 ATR). Downside extension is elevated, and chasing weakness here carries a higher rebound risk.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
On 2026-11-05, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-11-03] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent price action continues to trend lower in a relatively orderly manner, with no clear signs of structural stabilization yet emerging.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model still sees a directional lean, but the edge is not thick enough after adjusting for reward/risk.
The model does not deploy this setup because the directional lean exists, but the edge is still not thick enough after risk adjustment, reward/risk remains too thin at -0.10 after adjustment, the setup already looks stretched, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory, and there is meaningful next-session pullback or digestion risk. Predictability is 40%, agreement is 100%, and reversal risk is 34%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 75 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-11-05. The current price is 343.69, 8.24% below the estimated average cost of 374.55. An estimated 9.6% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 89.3% is above it. The peak-density price is 402.00. The largest concentrated cost region is 371.25 to 381.25 and contains 16.1% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 343.25 to 345.75 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 340.25 to 341.75. The nearest region above the current price is 348.75 to 350.25.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for TSLA
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 27%)
Structure Analysis
TSLA Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 2.2 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind more slowly than usual. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. Price is already trending lower (20D return -8.3%). The current configuration reflects active downside pressure rather than latent structural fragility.
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-10-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.