United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Technology • Industry: Semiconductors
United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) Profile & Business Summary
United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company provides circuit design, mask tooling, wafer fabrication, and assembly and testing services. It serves fabless design companies and integrated device manufacturers. United Microelectronics Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
Key Information
| Ticker | UMC |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.umc.com |
Market Trend Overview for UMC
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-20 (ET)
As of 2026-07-20, UMC is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
UMC last closed at 20.30. The price is about 10.0 ATR below its recent average price (23.73), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 20.30 is near minor support around 18.70. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 23.36. View Support & Resistance from Options
The broader uptrend is still intact, but price has moved far from its recent average, increasing the risk of a pullback.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
Price is stretched well below its recent average (about 10.0 ATR). Downside extension is elevated, and chasing weakness here carries a higher rebound risk.
A key downside risk boundary is near 19.06. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
On 2026-07-07, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-07-20] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.Bearish signal in open space between key levels. Pattern is less clear, so strength is reduced.
Recent price action continues to trend lower in a relatively orderly manner, with no clear signs of structural stabilization yet emerging.
Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.
The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.
The model does not deploy this setup because the signal stack remains conflicted, price is still close to a gamma transition zone, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory, there is meaningful next-session pullback or digestion risk, and the setup already looks stretched. Predictability is 35%, agreement is 64%, and reversal risk is 40%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 15.6% below the recent estimated cost basis of 24.06, so the recent structure is still leaning under pressure. Price is below the main cost band (22.12 to 23.00), and roughly 99% of recent positioning remains under water. That means rebounds can still run into supply from trapped holders. The broader structure still looks stretched on the weak side, so recovery attempts may need more proof before improving the tone. The nearby selling area sits around 20.30 to 20.75, and overhead supply looks fairly concentrated there. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, this setup remains tougher until price can reclaim the lower edge of the main cost band near 22.12.