Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Industrials • Industry: Railroads
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) Profile & Business Summary
Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in the United States. The company offers transportation services for grain and grain products, fertilizers, food and refrigerated products, and coal and renewables to grain processors, animal feeders, ethanol producers, and other agricultural users; petroleum, and liquid petroleum gases; and construction products, industrial chemicals, plastics, forest products, specialized products, metals and ores, soda ash, and sand, as well as finished automobiles, automotive parts, and merchandise in intermodal containers. As of December 31, 2021, its rail network included 32,452 route miles connecting Pacific Coast and Gulf Coast ports with the Midwest and Eastern United States gateways. The company was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.
Key Information
| Ticker | UNP |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.up.com |
Market Trend Overview for UNP
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-13 (ET)
As of 2026-07-13, UNP is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
UNP last closed at 289.13. The price is about 1.0 ATR above its recent average price (284.29), and the market is currently in a strong upward move. Price at 289.13 is holding above minor support near 264.56. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 297.44. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term and long-term trends are aligned, and momentum remains healthy, supporting further upside.
Trend score: 95 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.
A key downside risk boundary is near 260.86. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-06-30, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-07-09] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent price advances remain intact, but efficiency has steadily deteriorated while effort has increased. This divergence suggests a late-stage expansion where upside follow-through may become less reliable.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
As of 2026-07-13, price has extended significantly above its primary volume area, entering a liquidity-thin zone. While the uptrend remains intact, the risk of chasing strength has increased.
The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 64.6% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.
Up probability is 64.6%, with predictability at 55% and signal agreement at 88%. Reversal risk is 18%, while reward/risk stands at 0.30. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 4.7% above the recent estimated cost basis of 276.19, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is above the main cost band (280.19 to 285.22), and about 92% of recent positioning is already in profit. That supports trend strength, but it also raises the chance of profit-taking if momentum cools. The lower down support area sits around 284.22 to 285.05. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the trend still has support, but because the main support sits lower down around 284.22 to 285.05, the key is whether pullbacks remain controlled before dropping back into that zone.