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United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) Corporate Logo

United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: AMEX • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management

United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) Profile & Business Summary

USO invests primarily in futures contracts for light, sweet crude oil, other types of crude oil, diesel-heating oil, gasoline, natural gas, and other petroleum-based fuels.

Key Information

Ticker USO
Exchange AMEX
Official Site http://www.unitedstatesoilfund.com
CIK Number 0001327068
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for USO

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-03-25 (ET)

As of 2026-03-25, USO is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

USO last closed at 113.39. The price is about 1.3 ATR below its recent average price (115.28), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 113.39 is moving between light support near 106.45 and light resistance near 121.15. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options

The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside level is near 83.51. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.

Recent Trend Signal

A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-01-14, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-02-23] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-03-25 (ET)
USO is not currently in a trend-dominant environment, so the trend prediction model is not activated for this run.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-03-25 (ET)

This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is only slightly above the recent estimated cost basis of 112.40. Price is below the main cost band (113.92 to 119.87), so this area is still important on any rebound attempt. The lower down support area sits around 106.77 to 107.76. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. Recent positioning looks fairly balanced, with 43% in profit and 57% under water. From a trading point of view, the main question is whether pullbacks remain controlled before price falls back into the lower support zone.

Analytical Modules