United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: AMEX • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management
United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) Profile & Business Summary
USO invests primarily in futures contracts for light, sweet crude oil, other types of crude oil, diesel-heating oil, gasoline, natural gas, and other petroleum-based fuels.
Key Information
| Ticker | USO |
|---|---|
| Exchange | AMEX |
| Official Site | http://www.unitedstatesoilfund.com |
Market Trend Overview for USO
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-13 (ET)
As of 2026-10-13, USO is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
USO last closed at 153.09. The price is about 0.2 ATR above its recent average price (152.07), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 153.09 is moving between minor support near 143.30 and minor resistance near 155.60. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.
Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 133.98. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
On 2026-09-21, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-10-09] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent price action shows orderly upward progression with no major deterioration in bar-level efficiency. Structural conditions remain broadly constructive.
Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.
The model sees a bullish edge, with 60.2% upside probability and a still-actionable balance between confirmation and reversal risk.
Up probability is 60.2%, with predictability at 52% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 18%, while reward/risk stands at 0.24. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 58 trading days, with relative-volume decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-13. The current price is 153.09, 1.05% above the estimated average cost of 151.50. An estimated 96.0% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 1.7% is above it. The peak-density price is 152.60. The largest concentrated cost region is 151.50 to 152.90 and contains 70.8% of the estimated distribution. The nearest region below the current price is 151.50 to 152.90.