ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: CBOE • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management - Leveraged
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY) Profile & Business Summary
The index seeks to offer exposure to market volatility through publicly traded futures markets and is designed to measure the implied volatility of the S&P 500 over 30 days in the future.
Key Information
Market Trend Overview for UVXY
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-14 (ET)
As of 2026-07-14, UVXY is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains neutral.
UVXY last closed at 23.80. The price is about 1.4 ATR below its recent average price (26.01), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 23.80 is near minor support around 23.11. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 25.98. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term downside pressure is present, though longer-term confirmation remains limited.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. Both short-term and longer-term trends lack clear confirmation.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
On 2026-04-08, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-06-30] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a bearish edge, but still treats it as a selective downside setup rather than an aggressive downside call.
Up probability is only 42.7%, with predictability at 52% and agreement at 75%. Reversal risk is 15%, while reward/risk stands at -0.21. That suggests downside pressure is present, while the setup still remains selective rather than extreme. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 4.2% below the recent estimated cost basis of 24.84, so the recent structure is still leaning under pressure. Price is in the lower half of the main cost band (23.51 to 24.20), so price support and pullback behavior matter more than immediate upside follow-through. The broader structure still looks stretched on the weak side, so recovery attempts may need more proof before improving the tone. Roughly 75% of recent positioning remains under water, so rebound attempts can still run into supply from trapped holders. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the most useful read is to compare price with the main cost band first, because there is no especially clear nearby support or overhead cluster right now.