ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: CBOE • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management - Leveraged
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY) Profile & Business Summary
The index seeks to offer exposure to market volatility through publicly traded futures markets and is designed to measure the implied volatility of the S&P 500 over 30 days in the future.
Key Information
Market Trend Overview for UVXY
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-13 (ET)
As of 2026-10-13, UVXY is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
UVXY last closed at 15.94. The price is about 1.6 ATR below its recent average price (17.47), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 15.94 is near minor support around 14.95. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 17.04. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term weakness is unfolding within a broader uptrend, suggesting a pullback rather than a full trend reversal.
Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
On 2026-04-08, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.
[2026-09-30] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent price action continues to trend lower in a relatively orderly manner, with no clear signs of structural stabilization yet emerging.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.
The model does not deploy this setup because predictability is still too low, internal signals are not aligned strongly enough, and recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory. Predictability is 32%, agreement is 37%, and reversal risk is 15%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 58 trading days, with relative-volume decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-13. The current price is 15.94, 0.09% above the estimated average cost of 15.93. An estimated 60.1% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 20.7% is above it. The peak-density price is 15.90. The largest concentrated cost region is 15.83 to 16.02 and contains 82.6% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 15.83 to 16.02 cost region.