Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Energy • Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) Profile & Business Summary
Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. It produces conventional, premium, and reformulated gasolines; gasoline meeting the specifications of the California Air Resources Board (CARB); diesel fuels, and low-sulfur and ultra-low-sulfur diesel fuels; CARB diesel; other distillates; jet fuels; blendstocks; and asphalts, petrochemicals, lubricants, and other refined petroleum products, as well as sells lube oils and natural gas liquids. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned 15 petroleum refineries with a combined throughput capacity of approximately 3.2 million barrels per day; and 12 ethanol plants with a combined ethanol production capacity of approximately 1.6 billion gallons per year. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through approximately 7,000 outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company also produces and sells ethanol, dry distiller grains, syrup, and inedible corn oil primarily to animal feed customers. In addition, it owns and operates crude oil and refined petroleum products pipelines, terminals, tanks, marine docks, truck rack bays, and other logistics assets; and owns and operates a plant that processes animal fats, used cooking oils, and inedible distillers corn oils into renewable diesel. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
Key Information
| Ticker | VLO |
|---|---|
| Leadership | R. Lane Riggs |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.valero.com |
Market Trend Overview for VLO
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
This model looks at how prices behave over time to describe the current market environment. It focuses on whether price is moving steadily, stalling, or losing momentum, and checks both short-term and weekly trends for confirmation. The goal is not to predict exact prices, but to help understand when conditions are supportive, risky, or unclear.
Current Market Context (Short-Term)
As of 2026-02-06 (ET), VLO is moving sideways. Price at 202.68 is above support near 178.34. If price moves higher, it may meet resistance around 212.97. View Support & Resistance from Options
Why the market looks this way?
Prices have moved back and forth over recent sessions without making steady progress. Trend signals have changed frequently, which suggests the market is stuck in a range. In this environment, chasing moves in either direction is less reliable.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-02-06 (ET)
As of 2026-02-06, VLO is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
VLO last closed at 202.68. The price is about 4.5 ATR above its recent average price (185.12), and the market is currently in a strong upward move.
The broader uptrend is still intact, but price has moved far from its recent average, increasing the risk of a pullback.
Trend score: 95 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.
Price is far from its recent average (about 4.5 ATR away). Chasing the move at this level carries a higher risk of a pullback.
A key downside level is near 162.49. If price falls below this area, the current upward trend would likely weaken or break.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-01-05, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-01-07] Trading activity was heavy, but price made little progress.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
Buying into the close appeared steady and controlled, consistent with deliberate overnight positioning.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for VLO
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 50%)
Structure Analysis
VLO Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 2.8 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves.
Bull Trap Structural Risk
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Price is consolidating near highs with a weak upward bias, appearing strong on the surface but structurally more fragile. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-01-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.