Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund (VTI) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: AMEX • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Asset Management
Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund (VTI) Profile & Business Summary
The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index, which represents approximately 100% of the investable U.S. stock market and includes large-, mid-, small-, and micro-cap stocks. It invests by sampling the index, meaning that it holds a broadly diversified collection of securities that, in the aggregate, approximates the full index in terms of key characteristics.
Key Information
Market Trend Overview for VTI
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-17 (ET)
As of 2026-08-17, VTI is moving sideways without a clear direction. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
VTI last closed at 382.13. The price is about 0.5 ATR above its recent average price (380.06), and the market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. Price at 382.13 is moving between minor support near 366.18 and minor resistance near 383.29. Direction remains unclear. View Support & Resistance from Options
The market is moving sideways, with no clear direction. Both upside and downside risks remain in play.
Trend score: 35 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a sideways market without a clear direction. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.
A key downside risk boundary is near 368.51. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-07-06, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-08-14] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.
The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 64.9% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.
Up probability is 64.9%, with predictability at 65% and signal agreement at 86%. Reversal risk is 13%, while reward/risk stands at 0.32. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 18 trading days, with relative-volume decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-17. The current price is 382.13, 0.25% below the estimated average cost of 383.09. An estimated 5.2% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 92.3% is above it. The peak-density price is 383.30. The largest concentrated cost region is 383.05 to 383.75 and contains 45.9% of the estimated distribution. The nearest region above the current price is 382.15 to 382.65.