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TeraWulf Inc. (WULF) Corporate Logo

TeraWulf Inc. (WULF) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NASDAQ • Sector: Financial Services • Industry: Financial - Capital Markets

TeraWulf Inc. (WULF) Profile & Business Summary

TeraWulf Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a digital asset technology company in the United States. It develops, owns, and operates bitcoin mining facility sites. The company operates two bitcoin mining facility sites located in New York and Pennsylvania. TeraWulf Inc. is based in Easton, Maryland.

Key Information

Ticker WULF
Exchange NASDAQ
Official Site https://www.terawulf.com
CIK Number 0001083301
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for WULF

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-10-01 (ET)

As of 2026-10-01, WULF is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

WULF last closed at 14.91. The price is about 1.1 ATR below its recent average price (17.07), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 14.91 is near light support around 14.81. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 17.31. View Support & Resistance from Options

Short-term weakness is unfolding within a broader uptrend, suggesting a pullback rather than a full trend reversal.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

There is no clear key risk boundary right now.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-07-02, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-09-09] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

Closing activity showed limited conviction and did not suggest strong overnight positioning.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-10-01 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-10-02 (ET)
No clear next-day edge

What the model sees

The model does not deploy the setup because the current position looks stretched and more vulnerable to pullback or digestion.


Why the model says this

The model does not deploy this setup because pullback risk is 61%, entry geometry is unfavorable at the current location, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory, and the setup already looks stretched. Predictability is 32%, agreement is 64%, and reversal risk is 34%.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-10-01 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 50 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01. The current price is 14.91, 6.78% below the estimated average cost of 16.00. An estimated 16.1% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 82.8% is above it. The peak-density price is 14.88. The largest concentrated cost region is 14.99 to 15.83 and contains 29.5% of the estimated distribution. The current price is within the 14.73 to 14.95 cost region. The nearest region below the current price is 14.67 to 14.69. The nearest region above the current price is 14.99 to 15.83.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for WULF

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.69

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 39.28%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) -15.60%
20-Day Return 0.61%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is relatively low, indicating limited pressure from short positions. (Historical percentile: 24%)

Structure Analysis

WULF Short positioning is starting to look crowded. Current days to cover is 4.3 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering could add extra momentum to price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 30/100, DTC percentile 86%) and liquidity softening modestly (volume -16%). Positioning is historically elevated, although price and liquidity conditions do not yet confirm structural fragility.

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Short positioning is elevated both relative to its own history and in absolute short-interest terms. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-09-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

Analytical Modules