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Baxter International Inc. (BAX) Corporate Logo

Baxter International Inc. (BAX) Stock Price & Analysis

Market: NYSE • Sector: Healthcare • Industry: Medical - Instruments & Supplies

Baxter International Inc. (BAX) Profile & Business Summary

Baxter International Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops and provides a portfolio of healthcare products worldwide. The company offers peritoneal dialysis and hemodialysis, and additional dialysis therapies and services; intravenous therapies, infusion pumps, administration sets, and drug reconstitution devices; remixed and oncology drug platforms, inhaled anesthesia and critical care products and pharmacy compounding services; parenteral nutrition therapies and related products; biological products and medical devices used in surgical procedures for hemostasis, tissue sealing and adhesion prevention; and continuous renal replacement therapies and other organ support therapies focused in the intensive care unit. It also provides connected care solutions, including devices, software, communications, and integration technologies; integrated patient monitoring and diagnostic technologies to help diagnose, treat, and manage a various illness and diseases, including respiratory therapy, cardiology, vision screening, and physical assessment; surgical video technologies, tables, lights, pendants, precision positioning devices and other accessories. In addition, the company offers contracted services to various pharmaceutical and biopharmaceutical companies. Its products are used in hospitals, kidney dialysis centers, nursing homes, rehabilitation centers, doctors' offices, and patients at home under physician supervision. The company sells its products through direct sales force, as well as through independent distributors, drug wholesalers, and specialty pharmacy or other alternate site providers in approximately 100 countries. It has an agreement with Celerity Pharmaceutical, LLC to develop acute care generic injectable premix and oncolytic molecules. Baxter International Inc. was incorporated in 1931 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois.

Key Information

Ticker BAX
Exchange NYSE
Official Site https://www.baxter.com
CIK Number 0000010456
View SEC Filings

Market Trend Overview for BAX

One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.

Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)

Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-08-17 (ET)

As of 2026-08-17, BAX is showing signs of slowing down. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.

BAX last closed at 25.91. The price is about 0.9 ATR below its recent average price (26.57), and the market is currently in a trend that may be losing strength. Price at 25.91 is near minor support around 21.40. Momentum may slow, while minor resistance sits near 30.00. View Support & Resistance from Options

The broader uptrend is still intact, but price has moved far from its recent average, increasing the risk of a pullback.

Trend Alignment Summary

Trend score: 55 out of 100. Overall alignment is unclear. The market is currently in a late-stage trend that may be losing strength. The longer-term trend is still positive, but short-term signals are not yet confirming it.

Key Risk Level

A key downside risk boundary is near 22.41. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.

Recent Trend Signal

On 2026-08-17, trend conditions deteriorated, suggesting that moves in the prior direction became less dependable.

Unusual Price Movement

[2026-08-17] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.Bearish signal in open space between key levels. Pattern is less clear, so strength is reduced.

Recent Price Behavior

Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.

Overnight Positioning

Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.

Next-day directional probability forecast Last updated: 2026-08-17 (ET)
Next-session outlook for 2026-08-18 (ET)
No clear next-day edge

What the model sees

The model stays neutral because the setup is not clear enough to justify a directional deployment.


Why the model says this

The model does not deploy this setup because internal signals are not aligned strongly enough and price is still close to a gamma transition zone. Predictability is 41%, agreement is 45%, and reversal risk is 27%.

NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history

Recent Cost Distribution Last updated: 2026-08-17 (ET)

This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 18 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-17. The current price is 25.91, 2.92% below the estimated average cost of 26.69. An estimated 17.6% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 82.0% is above it. The peak-density price is 27.22. The largest concentrated cost region is 26.63 to 27.95 and contains 57.4% of the estimated distribution. The nearest region below the current price is 24.67 to 24.79. The nearest region above the current price is 25.95 to 25.97.

Short Interest & Covering Risk for BAX

This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.

Squeeze Score 0.54

Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.

Key Market Risk Indicators
Short Crowding (Short Interest / Float) 6.36%
Short Positions Trend Not Increasing
Liquidity Trend (Average Daily Volume) 8.49%
20-Day Return 17.40%
Price vs 20-Day High Below Recent Highs

Short Exposure Percentile

Short interest is above its usual range, suggesting rising pressure on short positions, though not yet extreme. (Historical percentile: 64%)

Structure Analysis

BAX Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 4.3 trading days, meaning short positions would unwind somewhat slower than average. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 6/100, DTC percentile 90%) despite a strong upward price move (20D return 17.4%). Positioning is historically elevated, although price and liquidity conditions do not yet confirm structural fragility.

Risk Summary

No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.

Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?

Days-to-Cover is elevated versus its own history, but absolute short interest remains moderate. Price action is compressing (range is tightening), which can make breaks more sensitive. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 2× larger than usual.


Note: Short interest data is reported every two weeks by FINRA. The most recent snapshot is 2026-07-31 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.

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