Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Industrials • Industry: Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) Profile & Business Summary
Joby Aviation, Inc., a vertically integrated air mobility company, engages in building an electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft optimized to deliver air transportation as a service. It intends to build an aerial ridesharing service. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Santa Cruz, California.
Key Information
| Ticker | JOBY |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.jobyaviation.com |
Market Trend Overview for JOBY
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-11-06 (ET)
As of 2026-11-06, JOBY is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bearish.
JOBY last closed at 5.93. The price is about 1.6 ATR above its recent average price (5.09), and the market is currently in a strong upward move. Price at 5.93 is holding above minor support near 4.77. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 7.18. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term strength is developing against a weaker long-term trend, which increases the risk of downside reversals.
Trend score: 70 out of 100. Overall alignment is moderate. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Some trend alignment is present, but the structure is still forming.
There is no clear key risk boundary right now.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-11-05, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-11-02] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent price action shows orderly upward progression with no major deterioration in bar-level efficiency. Structural conditions remain broadly constructive.
Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.
The model still sees a directional lean, but the edge is not thick enough after adjusting for reward/risk.
The model does not deploy this setup because the directional lean exists, but the edge is still not thick enough after risk adjustment, reward/risk remains too thin at 0.12 after adjustment, the setup already looks stretched, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory, and there is meaningful next-session pullback or digestion risk. Predictability is 43%, agreement is 100%, and reversal risk is 31%.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This estimate uses 1-minute price, volume, and VWAP data from the last 48 trading days, with turnover-based decay. The sample period is 2026-09-01 to 2026-11-06. The current price is 5.93, 10.38% above the estimated average cost of 5.37. An estimated 77.3% of recent positioning is below the current price, while 22.5% is above it. The peak-density price is 5.17. The largest concentrated cost region is 4.95 to 5.19 and contains 23.9% of the estimated distribution. The nearest region below the current price is 5.71 to 5.81. The nearest region above the current price is 6.07 to 6.14.
Short Interest & Covering Risk for JOBY
This analysis looks at overall short interest positioning, focusing on the broader setup rather than short-term noise.
Shows how likely a short squeeze may be under current market conditions.
Short Exposure Percentile
Short interest is within its typical range, with no clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. (Historical percentile: 40%)
Structure Analysis
JOBY Short positioning looks normal. Current days to cover is 5.8 trading days, meaning short positions could unwind at a normal pace. Short covering is likely to have a normal impact on price moves. No meaningful structural fragility is currently detected (Fragility Score 13/100, DTC percentile 57%) while price maintains a mild upward bias (20D return 9.0%) with short positioning continuing to expand and liquidity softening modestly (volume -12%).
Risk Summary
No clear bull trap characteristics detected. Recent price behavior remains broadly consistent with current positioning.This reading helps confirm that current price action remains structurally healthy and does not indicate elevated trap risk.
Why Price Reactions May Be Stronger?
In the latest reporting period, short interest continues to increase. Adaptive thresholds applied to liquidity weakness, near-high detection, and compression sensitivity. As a result, similar news or market events could lead to price moves about 1× larger than usual.
Note:
Short interest data is reported every two weeks by
FINRA.
The most recent snapshot is
2026-10-15 (ET).
Because this data updates slowly, it is not intended to predict short-term price moves. Instead, it helps describe longer-term market structure and where pressure may be building if prices begin to move.