Target Corporation (TGT) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Consumer Defensive • Industry: Discount Stores
Target Corporation (TGT) Profile & Business Summary
Target Corporation operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States. The company offers food assortments, including perishables, dry grocery, dairy, and frozen items; apparel, accessories, home décor products, electronics, toys, seasonal offerings, food, and other merchandise; and beauty and household essentials. It also provides in-store amenities, such as Target Café, Target Optical, Starbucks, and other food service offerings. The company sells its products through its stores; and digital channels, including Target.com. As of March 09, 2022, the company operated approximately 2,000 stores. Target Corporation was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Key Information
| Ticker | TGT |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://corporate.target.com |
Market Trend Overview for TGT
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-13 (ET)
As of 2026-07-13, TGT is starting to move higher. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
TGT last closed at 134.77. The price is about 1.0 ATR above its recent average price (131.52), and the market is currently in an early upward move. Price at 134.77 is holding above minor support near 127.66. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 137.87. View Support & Resistance from Options
The trend is still positive, but signs of slowing momentum suggest growing two-sided risk.
Trend score: 80 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in an early-stage uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.
A key downside risk boundary is near 119.18. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-07-09, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-06-03] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent bars show mixed price behavior without a clear shift in structural quality or efficiency.
There was no clear sign of meaningful positions being carried into the overnight session.
The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 63.1% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.
Up probability is 63.1%, with predictability at 51% and signal agreement at 88%. Reversal risk is 20%, while reward/risk stands at 0.29. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is modestly above the recent estimated cost basis of 132.89, so the recent structure is still on the firmer side. Price is above the main cost band (129.74 to 134.21), and about 68% of recent positioning is already in profit. That supports trend strength, but it also raises the chance of profit-taking if momentum cools. The lower down support area sits around 129.74 to 131.42. It looks more like a first buffer than a major floor. The higher up selling area sits around 140.57 to 141.13. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the structure is still best read by comparing price with the main cost band first, then watching whether the lower support zone or higher supply zone becomes the next directional checkpoint.