United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) Stock Price & Analysis
Market: NYSE • Sector: Industrials • Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) Profile & Business Summary
United Parcel Service, Inc. provides letter and package delivery, transportation, logistics, and related services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery of letters, documents, small packages, and palletized freight through air and ground services in the United States. The International Package segment provides guaranteed day and time-definite international shipping services in Europe, the Asia Pacific, Canada and Latin America, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East, and Africa. This segment offers guaranteed time-definite express options. The company also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, customs brokerage, distribution and post-sales, and mail and consulting services in approximately 200 countries and territories. In addition, it offers truckload brokerage services; supply chain solutions to the healthcare and life sciences industry; shipping, visibility, and billing technologies; and financial and insurance services. The company operates a fleet of approximately 121,000 package cars, vans, tractors, and motorcycles; and owns 59,000 containers that are used to transport cargo in its aircraft. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Key Information
| Ticker | UPS |
|---|---|
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Official Site | https://www.ups.com |
Market Trend Overview for UPS
One model, two time views: what the market looks like right now, and where the larger trend is heading over time.
SRE (WhaleQuant Structural Regime Engine) SRE evaluates how price structure evolves across daily and weekly timeframes to define the prevailing market regime. Beyond identifying trends, consolidations, and exhaustion phases, it distinguishes between raw structural strength and deployable participation quality. The model dynamically adjusts for structural context and extension risk, assessing whether conditions are supportive, stretched, fragile, or structurally impaired. Its purpose is not to forecast precise price levels, but to determine whether risk deployment is aligned with underlying market structure.
Longer-Term Market Trend (Mid to Long Term)
Shows the bigger market trend, how strong it is, and where risks may start to build over the next few weeks or months. — Updated as of 2026-07-14 (ET)
As of 2026-07-14, UPS is in a strong upward move. Over the longer term, the trend remains bullish.
UPS last closed at 113.67. The price is about 1.4 ATR above its recent average price (109.94), and the market is currently in a strong upward move. Price at 113.67 is holding above minor support near 106.04. If price continues higher, it may face minor resistance around 117.80. View Support & Resistance from Options
Short-term and long-term trends are aligned, and momentum remains healthy, supporting further upside.
Trend score: 95 out of 100. Overall alignment is strong. The market is currently in a strong and established uptrend. Trend signals are well aligned across timeframes, suggesting a stable and consistent trend.
A key downside risk boundary is near 101.82. If price falls below this area, the current structure would likely weaken further.
A systematic trend-activation signal was most recently triggered on 2026-07-07, reflecting a technical shift toward positive directional alignment.
[2026-06-05] Price moved quickly and looked strong, but participation was limited.
Recent price action shows orderly upward progression with no major deterioration in bar-level efficiency. Structural conditions remain broadly constructive.
Some late-day positioning was observed, but it lacked strong overnight commitment.
The model sees a credible bullish edge, with 65.5% upside probability, strong signal alignment, and reward/risk that remains meaningfully favorable.
Up probability is 65.5%, with predictability at 56% and signal agreement at 93%. Reversal risk is 12%, while reward/risk stands at 0.35. That suggests the directional case is supported by broad confirmation and still retains usable quality. At the same time, recent price behavior has shown failed reversal memory.
NOTE: This next-day up/down probability forecast module is still being tested for accuracy. Please do not rely on it for investment decisions. The model does not account for black swan events or company-specific fundamental news, and its estimates are based solely on technical conditions, capital flow, and market sentiment. View forecast history
This reading is based on the last 20 trading days of 15-minute price, volume, and VWAP data. Price is trading 3.3% above the recent estimated cost basis of 110.08, which keeps the recent cost structure in a clearly stronger position. Price is in the upper half of the main cost band (111.30 to 113.74), which is usually a healthier short-term location because price is holding the stronger side of recent trading activity. The nearby support area sits around 111.55 to 113.65, and it looks fairly solid right now. About 99% of recent positioning is in profit, which is a strong backdrop, but it also means momentum needs to stay healthy to avoid profit-taking pressure. The main cost band is fairly wide relative to recent ATR, so this structure may behave less cleanly than a tighter setup. From a trading point of view, the trend still has support. The main question is whether pullbacks stay orderly above or near 111.55 to 113.65.